Móstoles URJC vs CD Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Móstoles URJC - CD Guadalajara
Result
4:2
27/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Amigo D. ,
  • 5', 1 - 1, Rodriguez V. ,
  • 13', 2 - 1, Castro A. ,
  • 45', 2 - 2, Alvarez U. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 3 - 2, de la Llave K. ,
  • 90+2', 4 - 2, Navarro M. ,

Chances of winning


Móstoles URJC
28%
Draw
25.2%
CD Guadalajara
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.1% 24% 58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6% 23.3% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Móstoles URJC's performance.
  • CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles URJC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Móstoles URJC - CD Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (5.25)
    3.59
    (3.75)
    1.96
    (1.53)
    9.5%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Móstoles is Relegated to
    • Guadalajara is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
    • Recent matches Móstoles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Guadalajara is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Móstoles could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Guadalajara will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Móstoles won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Móstoles won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Móstoles URJC - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
    14.12.2024 CD Guadalajara - Móstoles URJC 3:0
    10.08.2023 Móstoles URJC - CD Guadalajara 1:2
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2