Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 29
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee United TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (443/527) | 71% (230/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (443/527) | 71% (230/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (37/63) | 39% (30/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (137/181) | 52% (46/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 84% (21/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Farrugia N. 🟨,
- 36', Sevelj V. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Maswanhise T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', Iovu I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 2 - 0, Maswanhise T. ⚽, Watt E. (A),
- 57', Said I. 🟨,
- 60', Camara P. ↓, Trapanovski K. ↑,
- 61', Eskesen J. ↓, Sapsford Z. ↑,
- 61', Watters M. ↓, Agyei E. ↑,
- 61', Farrugia N. ↓, Fatah A. ↑,
- 63', Fadinger L. 🟨,
- 72', Said I. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
- 72', Fadinger L. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
- 82', Longelo E. ↓, Sparrow T. ↑,
- 82', Slattery C. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
- 90+1', O'Donnell S. ↓, Ross L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motherwell
69.3% | Draw
19.4% | Dundee United
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motherwell's performance.Dundee United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motherwell that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Motherwell - Dundee United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.51) |
4.87 ↑
(4.11) |
8.25 ↑
(5.93) |
5.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motherwell - Dundee United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Motherwell (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Dundee Utd (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Motherwell will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Motherwell will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Motherwell (votes: 4 - 80%). Dundee Utd (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 3.
- Motherwell is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dundee Utd has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dundee Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Motherwell is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Motherwell: Hendry C.
(Injury)
Koutroumbis J.
(Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Dundee Utd: Pappoe I.
(Knee Injury)
Sibbald C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Dundee United?
Motherwell has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee United won against Motherwell?
Dundee United has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motherwell - Dundee United were as follows:
13.12.2025
Dundee United
-
Motherwell
0:0
29.10.2025
Motherwell
-
Dundee United
2:0
22.02.2025
Dundee United
-
Motherwell
1:0
14.12.2024
Motherwell
-
Dundee United
4:3
30.10.2024
Dundee United
-
Motherwell
1:2
Latest results of Motherwell
Latest results of Dundee United
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 53:25 | 28 | 66 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 31 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 56:26 | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 56:34 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 49:23 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 43 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 40:48 | -8 | 37 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31:49 | -18 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 25:47 | -22 | 27 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 35:60 | -25 | 27 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 31 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 31:61 | -30 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
