Result
1:2
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 9
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 2.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/325) | 85% (520/613) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/325) | 85% (520/613) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (23/50) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (65/101) | 71% (101/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (20/27) | 29% (4/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Bokila J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Gordon L. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Stamatelopoulos A. (Pen),
- 59', Muirhead R. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
- 60', Maswanhise T. ↓, Slattery C. ↑,
- 60', Gordon L. ↓, McGinn P. ↑,
- 67', Pittman S. 🟨,
- 69', Bokila J. ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
- 69', Tait M. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
- 81', Said I. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
- 81', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
- 84', O'Donnell S. 🟨,
- 87', Longelo E. ↓, Koutroumbis J. ↑,
- 87', Prior J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Just E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Livingston
31.4% | Draw
27.1% | Motherwell
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Livingston's form might have worsened.Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motherwell's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livingston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motherwell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Livingston - Motherwell Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.35) |
3.54 ↑
(3.43) |
2.38 ↓
(2.79) |
3.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Livingston - Motherwell?
Users Predictions:
Motherwell will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 1.
- Livingston is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Motherwell has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Livingston has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Livingston: Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kerr C.
(Muscle Injury)
McGowan R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Motherwell: McGhee J.
(Thigh Injury)
Nicholson S.
(Knee Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Slattery C.
(Knee Injury)
Stuparevic F.
(Knee Injury)
Sule E.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Livingston: Brenet J.
(Inactive)
Montgomery A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Motherwell: Longelo E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Motherwell?
Livingston has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Livingston?
Motherwell has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livingston - Motherwell were as follows:
06.07.2024
Motherwell
-
Livingston
2:1
04.05.2024
Motherwell
-
Livingston
4:1
28.02.2024
Livingston
-
Motherwell
1:3
30.12.2023
Motherwell
-
Livingston
3:1
07.10.2023
Livingston
-
Motherwell
2:0
Latest results of Livingston
Latest results of Motherwell
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:6 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Celtic | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Dundee Utd | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | St. Mirren | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Dundee FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Livingston | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
