Moto Club de São Luís vs Sousa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Moto Club de São Luís - Sousa
Result
3:1
05/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', Lucas Gomes 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Mauricio Pinto ,
  • 36', Mauricio Pinto 🟨,
  • 40', 2 - 0, Jean ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ciro , Matheusinho ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Rick Sena ,
  • 61', 🟨,
  • 63', Lucas Gomes , Dos Anjos ,
  • 63', Elielton , Vinicius Silva ,
  • 63', Hebert , Dhonata ,
  • 68', Felipe Dias 🟥,
  • 71', 3 - 1, Gustavo Silva ,
  • 71', Rick Sena , Richard ,
  • 76', Bal , Luis Gustavo ,
  • 76', Jean , Lopeu ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 78', Gustavinho , Kiko ,
  • 78', Iranilson , Estevan ,

Chances of winning


Moto Club de São Luís
43.9%
Draw
30.1%
Sousa
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 31.3% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 28.6% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moto Club de São Luís has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moto Club de São Luís's performance.
  • Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sousa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moto Club de São Luís that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sousa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Moto Club de São Luís - Sousa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.5)
    3.04
    (2.9)
    3.53
    (2.8)
    9.5%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Moto Club de São Luís - Sousa?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Moto Club will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Sousa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Moto Club: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Recent matches Moto Club is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sousa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Moto Club could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Moto Club will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sousa
    22.02.2025 Sousa - Botafogo PB 1:2
    19.02.2025 CRB Maceio - Sousa 4:1
    16.02.2025 Treze - Sousa 0:0
    11.02.2025 Sousa - Sport Recife 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CSAFerroviario2 : 1
    2VitoriaConfianca0 : 1
    3BahiaFortaleza2 : 1
    4Sport RecifeCeara0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CSAConfianca
    2BahiaCeara

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2