Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 3
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (286/369) | 82% (316/387) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (286/369) | 82% (316/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (75/106) | 77% (133/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 42% (8/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.72 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
- 32', Imaz J. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Pululu A. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Czubak K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Rodrigues I. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 72', Bartos M. 🟨,
- 74', Krol M. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
- 74', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
- 77', Stojinovic D. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 77', Mazurek B. ↓, Pelmard A. ↑,
- 83', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
- 83', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 85', Pozo A. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
- 90', Pululu A. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
31.4% | Draw
25.7% | Jagiellonia Białystok
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.69) |
3.64 ↑
(3.33) |
2.19 ↓
(2.45) |
6.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 38.8% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to european competitions.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Motor: Bartos M.
(Inactive)
Karasek K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Motor Lublin has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Motor Lublin?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
16.02.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Motor Lublin
3:0
25.09.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:2
17.01.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Motor Lublin
0:0
04.07.2023
Motor Lublin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 30 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29:21 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Rakow | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 5 | Zaglebie | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 31:24 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Radomiak Radom | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 26 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 29:26 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 21 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23:28 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 21 |
| 13 | Lechia Gdansk | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 37:37 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 15 | Widzew Lodz | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | Legia | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 19 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:35 | -11 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
