Result
4:1
07/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 20
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (341/410) | 78% (277/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (341/410) | 78% (277/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (117/153) | 66% (64/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (18/25) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | -1.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 1, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Rodrigues I. (A),
- 44', Imaz J. 🟨,
- 44', Matthys H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 59', Pozo A. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
- 59', Nahuel M. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 67', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 67', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Krol M. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Bazdar S. ⚽, Pululu A. (A),
- 76', 3 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Drachal D. (A),
- 76', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
- 76', Rodrigues I. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
- 78', Matthys H. ↓, Ede B. ↑,
- 82', Wdowik B. ↓, Montoia G. ↑,
- 82', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Konstantopoulos A. ↑,
- 86', Mazurek B. 🟨,
- 87', Imaz J. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
- 90+2', 4 - 1, Romanczuk T. ⚽, Montoia G. (A),
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
51.5% | Draw
25.2% | Motor Lublin
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motor Lublin's recent form is better than expected.
Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.61) |
3.75 ↑
(3.35) |
4.02 ↓
(5) |
6.3%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Motor (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 4 - 80%). Motor (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In recent matches, Jagiellonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Motor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Motor has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Jagiellonia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Motor Lublin?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Motor Lublin has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin were as follows:
14.12.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
16.02.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Motor Lublin
3:0
25.09.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:2
17.01.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Motor Lublin
0:0
04.07.2023
Motor Lublin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
