Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok
03/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Motor Lublin
31.3%
Draw
27.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 27.8% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 26.5% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.69)
    3.43
    (3.33)
    2.23
    (2.45)
    8.1%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to european competitions.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Motor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin 3:0
    25.09.2024 Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:2
    17.01.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin 0:0
    04.07.2023 Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Cracovia22006:156
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B21014:223
    6Legia11002:023
    7Widzew Lodz21013:303
    8Rakow21012:203
    9Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14GKS Katowice20112:3-11
    15Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1