Real Jaén vs Motril – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Real Jaén - Motril
16/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, de la Hoz D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Merenciano C. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Awusi W. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Real Jaén
54.9%
Draw
26.4%
Motril
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 25.2% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 23.5% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Jaén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motril than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Real Jaén - Motril Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.59)
    3.43
    (3.6)
    4.87
    (5.09)
    10.2%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jaén won 2.
    • Jaén in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Motril is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Motril could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Jaén is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Jaén to win the game is with odds 1.75.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Jaén won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 0.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Jaén won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Jaén - Motril were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Motril - Real Jaén 3:1
    25.02.2024 Motril - Real Jaén 0:0
    15.10.2023 Real Jaén - Motril 1:2
    08.01.2023 Real Jaén - Motril 1:0
    11.09.2022 Motril - Real Jaén 0:1
    Latest results of Real Jaén
    09.03.2025 Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén 1:2
    02.03.2025 Real Jaén - El Ejido 5:1
    23.02.2025 Huétor Vega - Real Jaén 2:2
    09.02.2025 CP Almería - Real Jaén 0:1
    Latest results of Motril
    02.03.2025 Mijas-Las Lagunas - Motril 4:3
    23.02.2025 Motril - Malaga B 0:1
    16.02.2025 Torreperogil - Motril 1:2
    09.02.2025 Motril - Málaga City 3:0
    02.02.2025 Marbellí - Motril 0:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2