Casey Cavaliers vs Mount Gambier Pioneers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 South Women Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers
Result
54:79
10/05/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South Women

Chances of winning


Casey Cavaliers
20.1%
Mount Gambier Pioneers
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 68.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casey Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casey Cavaliers's form might have worsened.
  • Mount Gambier Pioneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mount Gambier Pioneers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casey Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casey Cavaliers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mount Gambier Pioneers than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mount Gambier Pioneers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.63
    (3.05)

    1.16
    (1.3)
    7.7%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 156.25
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)
  • What is the prediction for Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Casey (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 70:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mount Gambier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mount Gambier is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Casey will win today's game, with odds of 3.39.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Casey won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 331:334. (average 82.8:83.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Casey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 185:169. (average 92.5:84.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers 60:76
    18.05.2024 Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers 99:81
    14.04.2023 Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers 105:70
    Latest results of Casey Cavaliers
    Latest results of Mount Gambier Pioneers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Geelong W (1)Keilor Thunder W (4)84 : 69
    4Frankston W (6)Diamond Valley W (7)81 : 87
    5Knox W (2)Dandenong Rangers W (3)65 : 62
    8Waverley W (5)Ringwood W (8)90 : 82

    Quarter-finals
    1Geelong W (1)Bye
    2Dandenong Rangers W (3)Diamond Valley W (7)73 : 82
    3Knox W (2)Bye
    4Keilor Thunder W (4)Waverley W (5)86 : 81

    Semi-finals
    1Geelong W (1)Diamond Valley W (7)80 : 72
    2Knox W (2)Keilor Thunder W (4)80 : 73

    Final
    1Geelong W (1)Knox W (2)