Casey Cavaliers vs Mount Gambier Pioneers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
54:79
10/05/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South Women

Chances of winning


Casey Cavaliers
20.1%
Mount Gambier Pioneers
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 68.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casey Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casey Cavaliers's form might have worsened.
  • Mount Gambier Pioneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mount Gambier Pioneers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casey Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casey Cavaliers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mount Gambier Pioneers than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mount Gambier Pioneers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.63
    (3.05)

    1.16
    (1.3)
    7.7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 156.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)
    What is the prediction for Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Casey (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casey Cavaliers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Casey (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 70:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mount Gambier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mount Gambier is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Casey will win today's game, with odds of 3.39.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Casey won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 331:334. (average 82.8:83.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Casey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 185:169. (average 92.5:84.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers 60:76
    18.05.2024 Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers 99:81
    14.04.2023 Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers 105:70
    Latest results of Casey Cavaliers
    Latest results of Mount Gambier Pioneers
    Australian NBL1 South Women Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Eltham W761608:4740.857
    2Sandringham W651461:3880.833
    3Casey Cavaliers W651553:4890.833
    4Mt. Gambier W651528:5020.833
    5Diamond Valley W642510:4560.667
    6Kilsyth W642487:4600.667
    7Bendigo Braves W532451:4270.600
    8Knox W743557:5120.571
    9Ballarat W743590:5510.571
    10Nunawading W743571:5650.571
    11Frankston W743539:5440.571
    12Waverley W633460:4260.500
    13Keilor Thunder W633387:4030.500
    14Melbourne Tigers W624439:5110.333
    15Hobart Chargers W615460:5260.167
    16Dandenong Rangers W615408:4940.167
    17Ringwood W716567:6440.143
    18Northern Tasmania W606454:5150.000
    19Geelong W505316:4590.000

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