Result
1:1
04/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Anglin J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 72', 1 - 1, Lewis A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tivoli Gardens
17.7% | Draw
26.2% | Mount Pleasant
56% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Mount Pleasant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mount Pleasant than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mount Pleasant could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.18 ↓
(6.25) |
3.5 ↓
(3.6) |
1.64 ↑
(1.51) |
8.8%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mount Pleasant may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mount Pleasant is the team to beat.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 9:31. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Mount Pleasant?
Tivoli Gardens has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mount Pleasant won against Tivoli Gardens?
Mount Pleasant has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant were as follows:
11.12.2025
Mount Pleasant
-
Tivoli Gardens
5:0
30.03.2025
Mount Pleasant
-
Tivoli Gardens
0:0
26.01.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Mount Pleasant
0:1
27.10.2024
Mount Pleasant
-
Tivoli Gardens
1:0
18.02.2024
Mount Pleasant
-
Tivoli Gardens
1:0
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Latest results of Mount Pleasant
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montego Bay | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 54:30 | 24 | 57 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 44:14 | 30 | 52 |
| 3 | Racing United | 29 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 44:22 | 22 | 52 |
| 4 | Portmore | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Waterhouse | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 32:24 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39:29 | 10 | 42 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 43:35 | 8 | 38 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 38 |
| 9 | Dunbeholden | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 28:38 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 31:43 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 | Harbour View | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 39:55 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Molynes | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 17:66 | -49 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
