Result
04/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
Chances of winning
Tivoli Gardens
14.8% | Draw
24.9% | Mount Pleasant
60.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)The chances for Mount Pleasant have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mount Pleasant than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.1 ↓
(6.25) |
3.63 ↑
(3.6) |
1.5 ↓
(1.51) |
10.5%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mount Pleasant may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mount Pleasant is the team to beat.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 9:31. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Mount Pleasant?
Tivoli Gardens has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mount Pleasant won against Tivoli Gardens?
Mount Pleasant has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant were as follows:
11.12.2025
Mount Pleasant
-
Tivoli Gardens
5:0
30.03.2025
Mount Pleasant
-
Tivoli Gardens
0:0
26.01.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Mount Pleasant
0:1
27.10.2024
Mount Pleasant
-
Tivoli Gardens
1:0
18.02.2024
Mount Pleasant
-
Tivoli Gardens
1:0
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Latest results of Mount Pleasant
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montego Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 22 | 51 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 37:12 | 25 | 45 |
| 3 | Racing United | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 38:18 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Portmore | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Waterhouse | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24:19 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 34:26 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 | Dunbeholden | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 19:26 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Arnett Gardens | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:34 | 3 | 31 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 26 |
| 12 | Molynes | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 33:48 | -15 | 21 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17:63 | -46 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
