Result
0:1
12/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 33
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mount Pleasant
59.6% | Draw
25.1% | Tivoli Gardens
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mount Pleasant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mount Pleasant's form might have worsened.Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mount Pleasant than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mount Pleasant, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Mount Pleasant - Tivoli Gardens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.37) |
3.64 ↓
(4.35) |
5.99 ↓
(8.23) |
9.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mount Pleasant won 3.
- Mount Pleasant has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tivoli Gardens is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tivoli Gardens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mount Pleasant is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mount Pleasant won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:10. (average 1.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mount Pleasant won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:6. (average 2.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mount Pleasant won against Tivoli Gardens?
Mount Pleasant has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Mount Pleasant?
Tivoli Gardens has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mount Pleasant - Tivoli Gardens were as follows:
04.03.2026
Tivoli Gardens
-
Mount Pleasant
1:1
11.12.2025
Mount Pleasant
-
Tivoli Gardens
5:0
30.03.2025
Mount Pleasant
-
Tivoli Gardens
0:0
26.01.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Mount Pleasant
0:1
27.10.2024
Mount Pleasant
-
Tivoli Gardens
1:0
Latest results of Mount Pleasant
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montego Bay ✔ | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 78:41 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 62:24 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | Portmore | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 50:34 | 16 | 62 |
| 4 | Waterhouse ✔ | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 44:32 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Racing United | 37 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 56 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 37 | 17 | 4 | 16 | 53:40 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 55:44 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 40:47 | -7 | 49 |
| 9 | Dunbeholden | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 40:44 | -4 | 48 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 37:53 | -16 | 44 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 41:57 | -16 | 40 |
| 12 | Molynes | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 51:71 | -20 | 36 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police ✔ | 37 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 25:101 | -76 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Montego Bay is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Waterhouse is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Spanish Town Police is Relegated to
