Movsar Evloev vs Lerone Murphy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

MMA Featherweight UFC Men
Result
Evloev M. win
21/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FEATHERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+

Chances of winning


Movsar Evloev
69.1%		Lerone Murphy
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Movsar Evloev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Lerone Murphy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
    •

    Movsar Evloev - Lerone Murphy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.39 ↓
    (1.43)
    		3.11 ↑
    (2.86)    		 4.3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Evloev is considered a favorite.
    • The fighters have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Movsar Evloev
    26.07.2025 Movsar Evloev - Aaron Pico Canceled
    07.12.2024 Movsar Evloev - Aljamain Sterling Evloev M. win ✺
    05.10.2024 Movsar Evloev - Aljamain Sterling Canceled
    20.01.2024 Arnold Allen - Movsar Evloev Evloev M. win ✺
    Latest results of Lerone Murphy
    16.08.2025 Lerone Murphy - Aaron Pico Murphy L. - 1st Round KO ✺
    05.04.2025 Josh Emmett - Lerone Murphy Murphy L. win ✺
    26.10.2024 Lerone Murphy - Dan Ige Murphy L. win ✺
    18.05.2024 Edson Barboza - Lerone Murphy Murphy L. win ✺
    10.02.2024 Dan Ige - Lerone Murphy Canceled ✺
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