Moyale Barracks vs Karonga United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Malawi Premier Division Moyale Barracks - Karonga United
Result
0:1
03/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Moyale Barracks
19.8%
Draw
29.6%
Karonga United
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 31% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 29.8% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moyale Barracks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moyale Barracks's form might have worsened.
  • Karonga United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karonga United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moyale Barracks than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moyale Barracks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karonga United than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karonga United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Moyale Barracks - Karonga United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.16
    (2.6)
    3.45
    (2.91)
    2.02
    (2.62)
    -2%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • Moyale Barracks is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Karonga United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Karonga United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Karonga United has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moyale Barracks won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Moyale Barracks won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moyale Barracks - Karonga United were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Moyale Barracks - Karonga United 1:0
    15.04.2023 Moyale Barracks - Karonga United 1:1
    Latest results of Moyale Barracks
    Latest results of Karonga United
    Malawi Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mighty Wanderers15105023:71635
    2Big Bullets15111333:82534
    3Silver Strikers1586125:111430
    4Ekhaya1582516:9726
    5Karonga United1573516:12424
    6Civo Utd1565419:91023
    7Blue Eagles1565418:13523
    8Kamuzu Barracks1564518:17122
    9Chitipa United1547411:11019
    10Moyale Barracks1546511:15-418
    11Creck Sporting1553710:16-618
    12MAFCO1552814:18-417
    13Mighty Tigers1544710:15-516
    14Dedza Dynamos1543814:20-615
    15Mzuzu City1522119:29-208
    16Songwe Border1502135:42-372

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