Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligat ha'Al - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Israel | Sport 4 |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.77 |
| Ball possession |
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| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
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| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
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| 78% (308/397) | 77% (262/341) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.85 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 3.28 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
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| 78% (308/397) | 77% (262/341) |
| Long passes |
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| 37% (16/43) | 40% (16/40) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 60% (53/88) | 51% (41/81) |
| Crosses |
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| 20% (2/10) | 58% (7/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.74 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
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| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
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| 64% (16/25) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
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| 61 | 29 |
| Clearances |
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| 23 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.01 | 3.28 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.99 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', Amer M. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Sahiti E. ⚽, Revivo R. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Diakite I. ⚽, Tamam I. (A),
- 42', 2 - 1, Abu Farhi S. ⚽, Revivo R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Amer M. ↓, Dabush N. ↑,
- 46', Harush S. ↓, Boahen H. ↑,
- 46', Andrade K. ↓, Noy I. ↑,
- 46', Ben Harush N. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 1, Varela H. ⚽, Sahiti E. (A),
- 56', Sissokho I. 🟨,
- 57', 3 - 2, Almog E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Tamam I. ↓, Yamin A. ↑,
- 64', Yamin A. 🟨,
- 66', Abu Farhi S. 🟨,
- 73', Almog E. ↓, Hajaj I. ↑,
- 73', Abu Farhi S. ↓, Shahar I. ↑,
- 73', Sissokho I. ↓, Malede Y. ↑,
- 81', Awany T. ↓, Gethon E. ↑,
- 86', Sahiti E. ↓, Davida O. ↑,
- 90+3', Yashilirmak M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Maccabi Tel Aviv 73.5% | Draw 16.4% | MS Ashdod 10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Tel Aviv's performance.MS Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Maccabi Tel Aviv - MS Ashdod Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.26 ↓ (1.37) |
5.76 ↑ (5.08) |
9.23 ↑ (7.01) |
7.7% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Maccabi Tel Aviv - MS Ashdod?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ashdod will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Maccabi Tel Aviv (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).
- Maccabi Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 4.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ashdod has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Maccabi Tel Aviv is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Maccabi Tel Aviv: Gropper D.
(Inactive)
Nicolaescu I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ashdod: Ben Zaken T.
(Knee Injury)
Levi A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ashdod: Hakmon S.
(Heart Problems)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:17. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 2.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Maccabi Tel Aviv won against MS Ashdod?
Maccabi Tel Aviv has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MS Ashdod won against Maccabi Tel Aviv?
MS Ashdod has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maccabi Tel Aviv - MS Ashdod were as follows:
30.11.2025
MS Ashdod
-
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2:2
04.01.2025
Maccabi Tel Aviv
-
MS Ashdod
5:1
22.09.2024
MS Ashdod
-
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:2
03.01.2024
MS Ashdod
-
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:4
27.08.2023
Maccabi Tel Aviv
-
MS Ashdod
4:1
Latest results of Maccabi Tel Aviv
Latest results of MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | H. Beer Sheva ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 54:23 | 31 | 55 |
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem ✔ | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 56:27 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv ✔ | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 50:28 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv ✔ | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | Maccabi Haifa | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 39 |
| 6 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 40:35 | 5 | 35 |
| 7 | Netanya | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 42:53 | -11 | 31 |
| 8 | Sakhnin | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:33 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Ironi Tiberias ✔ | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30:49 | -19 | 26 |
| 10 | Kiryat Shmona ✔ | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 24 |
| 11 | Hapoel Haifa ✔ | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:40 | -10 | 24 |
| 12 | SC Ashdod ✔ | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30:47 | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Hapoel Jerusalem ✔ | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 20 |
| 14 | Maccabi Bnei Raina ✔ | 24 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 17:57 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )
Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
H. Beer Sheva is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Beitar Jerusalem is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Maccabi Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Hapoel Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Ironi Tiberias is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Kiryat Shmona is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Hapoel Haifa is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
SC Ashdod is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Hapoel Jerusalem is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Maccabi Bnei Raina is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )