Msaken vs Ben Guerdane – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
22/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tunisia Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Mejri M. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Mhirsi I. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Zorgati A. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Mejri M. ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Msaken
45.7%
Draw
32.6%
Ben Guerdane
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 31.1% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 29.2% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Msaken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Msaken's performance.
  • Ben Guerdane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ben Guerdane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Msaken than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Msaken that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Guerdane than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ben Guerdane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Msaken - Ben Guerdane Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.63)
    4.11
    (2.91)
    6.17
    (2.63)
    -25.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Msaken has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ben Guerdane is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Msaken may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Msaken
    22.02.2026 Hammam-Lif - Msaken 3:0
    01.02.2026 Menzel Bourguiba - Msaken 2:2
    25.01.2026 Msaken - Tataouine 0:1
    Latest results of Ben Guerdane
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1CA BizertinBye
    4ByeAS Marsa
    5MsakenSidi Bouzid3 : 1
    6US TataouineMegrine3 : 0
    8ByeBen Guerdane
    9MetlaouiBye
    12ByeAS Gabes
    13WS HammaBye
    14ByeStir Zarzouna
    16ByeEsperance Tunis
    17BouchammaOC Kerkennah1 : 3
    18ArianaProgres Sakiet0 : 1
    19SahlineBye
    20ByeOued Ellil
    21MornagBye
    22ByeHassi Amor
    24ByeOlympique Beja
    25CO KramBye
    26AS AgarebSporting Ben Arous3 : 2
    27NefzaBye
    28Stade GabesienHammam-Lif2 : 0
    29Gafsa KsarBye
    30ByeJebel Jeloud
    32ByeEtoile Sahel
    33Ajim DjerbaBye
    34RedeyefDjelma1 : 2
    35ChebikaBye
    36EM MahdiaKasserine2 : 1
    37JS OmraneBye
    39Sportive KebiliBye
    40ByeGuettar
    41BS BouhajlaChebba1 : 0
    42ByeRades
    43Ksour EssefBye
    44Menzel BourguibaEGS Gafsa1 : 2
    45SolimanBye
    48ByeStade Tunisien
    49MonastirBye
    52ByeClub Africain
    53ZarzisBye
    55MS MetlaouiBye
    56KorbaKalaa6 : 2
    57JS KairouanBye
    60ByeCS Sfaxien
    61FerianaBye
    62Hamam-SousseJendouba Sport2 : 3
    63MoknineSfax Railways1 : 3
    64ByeES Fahs

    1/32-finals
    1CA BizertinBye
    2ByeAS Marsa
    3MsakenUS Tataouine3 : 2
    4ByeBen Guerdane
    5MetlaouiBye
    6ByeAS Gabes
    7WS HammaStir Zarzouna1 : 0
    8ByeEsperance Tunis
    9OC KerkennahProgres Sakiet1 : 2
    10SahlineOued Ellil2 : 1
    11MornagHassi Amor3 : 2
    12ByeOlympique Beja
    13CO KramAS Agareb2 : 3
    14NefzaStade Gabesien0 : 2
    15Gafsa KsarJebel Jeloud1 : 0
    16ByeEtoile Sahel
    17Ajim DjerbaDjelma2 : 0
    18ChebikaEM Mahdia0 : 4
    19JS OmraneBye
    20Sportive KebiliGuettar1 : 0
    21BS BouhajlaRades3 : 0
    22Ksour EssefEGS Gafsa2 : 0
    23SolimanBye
    24ByeStade Tunisien
    25MonastirBye
    26ByeClub Africain
    27ZarzisBye
    28MS MetlaouiKorba0 : 2
    29JS KairouanBye
    30ByeCS Sfaxien
    31FerianaJendouba Sport1 : 3
    32Sfax Railways (WO.)ES Fahs

    1/16-finals
    1CA BizertinAS Marsa3 : 2
    2MsakenBen Guerdane4 : 1
    3MetlaouiAS Gabes5 : 2
    4WS HammaEsperance Tunis0 : 5
    5Progres SakietSahline6 : 0
    6MornagOlympique Beja1 : 2
    7AS AgarebStade Gabesien1 : 4
    8Gafsa KsarEtoile Sahel0 : 5
    9Ajim DjerbaEM Mahdia2 : 0
    10JS OmraneSportive Kebili1 : 0
    11BS BouhajlaKsour Essef2 : 1
    12SolimanStade Tunisien3 : 2
    13MonastirClub Africain1 : 0
    14ZarzisKorba1 : 0
    15JS KairouanCS Sfaxien0 : 1
    16Jendouba SportSfax Railways2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1CA BizertinMsaken
    2MetlaouiEsperance Tunis
    3Progres SakietOlympique Beja
    4Stade GabesienEtoile Sahel
    5Ajim DjerbaJS Omrane
    6BS BouhajlaSoliman
    7MonastirZarzis
    8CS SfaxienJendouba Sport