Result
3:2
12/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 7
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Agbakwuru J. C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 1, Akande T. ⚽,
- 50', 2 - 1, Agbakwuru J. C. ⚽,
- 51', Falzon D. 🟨,
- 54', Hassan J. ↓, Matheus Freitas ↑,
- 59', Formosa K. ↓, Xuereb A. ↑,
- 59', Marshall A. N. ↓, John I. ↑,
- 61', Micallef M. ↓, Azzopardi Z. ↑,
- 65', 🟨,
- 79', Gambin M. ↓, Abdelghani H. ↑,
- 83', Brincat M. ↓, Formosa R. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 1, Agbakwuru J. C. ⚽,
- 87', Azzopardi A. ↓, Tonna R. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Xuereb A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mtarfa
30.8% | Draw
28.3% | Fgura United
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mtarfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mtarfa's performance.Fgura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fgura United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mtarfa than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mtarfa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fgura United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mtarfa - Fgura United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↓
(4.42) |
3.3 ↓
(3.7) |
2.28 ↑
(1.68) |
7.3%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mtarfa - Fgura United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mtarfa (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Mtarfa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fgura is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recently Mtarfa have a series of guest games.
- In this match Fgura is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Mtarfa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mtarfa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mtarfa won against Fgura United?
Mtarfa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fgura United won against Mtarfa?
Fgura United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mtarfa - Fgura United were as follows:
22.09.2024
Mtarfa
-
Fgura United
1:2
12.02.2023
Fgura United
-
Mtarfa
1:1
01.11.2022
Mtarfa
-
Fgura United
0:2
Latest results of Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melita | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:3 | 12 | 12 |
| 2 | Fgura | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Santa Lucia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Pieta | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Balzan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | St. Andrews | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Swieqi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Mgarr | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Gudja | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Sirens | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Birzebbuga | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Vittoriosa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Zurrieq | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Marsa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Zebbug | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
| 16 | Mtarfa | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:15 | -15 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )
Challenge League (Relegation Group: )
