Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
26
Shots on target
12
Corner kicks
11
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
26
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
14
Corner kicks
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Jafari H. 🟨,
  • 25', Eshihanda B. , Kunambi K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Mhesa I. , Marungu O. A. ,
  • 60', Mkopi S. A. , Simchimba A. ,
  • 69', Abraham I. , Nakibinge J. ,
  • 78', Magata F. , Muhenga T. ,
  • 89', Mayombya Z. , Oyugi Siwa S. ,
  • 89', Datius P. , Manga O. ,
  • 89', Msafiri K. , Liuzio J. ,
  • 89', Lyawatwa H. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Evance F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Muhenga T. ,

Chances of winning


Mtibwa Sugar
36.5%
Draw
35.5%
Pamba
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 32.4% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Mtibwa Sugar - Pamba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.22)
    2.58
    (2.8)
    3.29
    (3.39)
    8.9%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
    • Mtibwa Sugar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pamba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mtibwa Sugar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Mtibwa Sugar
    21.01.2026 Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City 2:1
    18.01.2026 Simba - Mtibwa Sugar 1:1
    29.11.2025 Mtibwa Sugar - TRA United 2:1
    Latest results of Pamba
    06.12.2025 Prisons - Pamba 0:0
    29.11.2025 Pamba - Kinondoni MC 3:0
    25.10.2025 Dodoma Jiji - Pamba 1:0
    Tanzanian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Young Africans16115032:32938
    2Simba1494124:61831
    3Azam1578021:41729
    4JKT Tanzania1777318:15328
    5Pamba1667319:14525
    6Singida Black Stars1574418:15325
    7Mtibwa Sugar1757514:18-422
    8Namungo1756614:17-321
    9Dodoma Jiji1756614:18-421
    10TRA United1655617:18-120
    11Mashujaa174769:16-719
    12Fountain Gate164488:19-1116
    13Coastal Union1636712:18-615
    14Mbeya City1634913:22-913
    15Tanzania Prisons1734109:19-1013
    16Kinondoni MC1622125:25-208

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
          Relegation