Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
26
Shots on target
12
Corner kicks
11
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
26
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
14
Corner kicks
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Jafari H. 🟨,
  • 25', Eshihanda B. , Kunambi K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Mhesa I. , Marungu O. A. ,
  • 60', Mkopi S. A. , Simchimba A. ,
  • 69', Abraham I. , Nakibinge J. ,
  • 78', Magata F. , Muhenga T. ,
  • 89', Mayombya Z. , Oyugi Siwa S. ,
  • 89', Datius P. , Manga O. ,
  • 89', Msafiri K. , Liuzio J. ,
  • 89', Lyawatwa H. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Evance F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Muhenga T. ,

Chances of winning


Mtibwa Sugar
36.5%
Draw
35.5%
Pamba
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 32.4% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Mtibwa Sugar - Pamba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.22)
    2.58
    (2.8)
    3.29
    (3.39)
    8.9%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
    • Mtibwa Sugar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pamba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mtibwa Sugar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Mtibwa Sugar
    21.01.2026 Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City 2:1
    18.01.2026 Simba - Mtibwa Sugar 1:1
    29.11.2025 Mtibwa Sugar - TRA United 2:1
    Latest results of Pamba
    06.12.2025 Prisons - Pamba 0:0
    29.11.2025 Pamba - Kinondoni MC 3:0
    25.10.2025 Dodoma Jiji - Pamba 1:0
    Tanzanian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Young Africans18135038:33544
    2Simba17106126:62036
    3Azam18810023:51834
    4JKT Tanzania1878320:17329
    5Singida Black Stars1884620:19128
    6Pamba1868419:17226
    7TRA United1866619:18124
    8Dodoma Jiji1866617:18-124
    9Mtibwa Sugar1858515:19-423
    10Namungo1857616:19-322
    11Mashujaa184869:16-720
    12Mbeya City1845916:24-817
    13Coastal Union1837813:21-816
    14Fountain Gate174498:22-1416
    15Tanzania Prisons1834119:22-1313
    16Kinondoni MC1822147:29-228

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
          Relegation