Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
26
Shots on target
12
Corner kicks
11
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
26
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
14
Corner kicks
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Jafari H. 🟨,
  • 25', Eshihanda B. , Kunambi K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Mhesa I. , Marungu O. A. ,
  • 60', Mkopi S. A. , Simchimba A. ,
  • 69', Abraham I. , Nakibinge J. ,
  • 78', Magata F. , Muhenga T. ,
  • 89', Mayombya Z. , Oyugi Siwa S. ,
  • 89', Datius P. , Manga O. ,
  • 89', Msafiri K. , Liuzio J. ,
  • 89', Lyawatwa H. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Evance F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Muhenga T. ,

Chances of winning


Mtibwa Sugar
36.5%
Draw
35.5%
Pamba
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 32.4% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Mtibwa Sugar - Pamba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.22)
    2.58
    (2.8)
    3.29
    (3.39)
    8.9%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
    • Mtibwa Sugar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pamba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mtibwa Sugar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Mtibwa Sugar
    21.01.2026 Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City 2:1
    18.01.2026 Simba - Mtibwa Sugar 1:1
    29.11.2025 Mtibwa Sugar - TRA United 2:1
    Latest results of Pamba
    06.12.2025 Prisons - Pamba 0:0
    29.11.2025 Pamba - Kinondoni MC 3:0
    25.10.2025 Dodoma Jiji - Pamba 1:0
    Tanzanian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Young Africans1192027:22529
    2JKT Tanzania1777318:15328
    3Simba1173118:41424
    4Pamba1566318:13524
    5Azam1165018:41423
    6Namungo1656514:15-121
    7Dodoma Jiji1656514:15-121
    8Mtibwa Sugar1656513:17-421
    9Singida Black Stars1154211:8319
    10Mashujaa154568:15-717
    11TRA United1344515:15016
    12Coastal Union1636712:18-615
    13Fountain Gate154387:18-1115
    14Mbeya City1534812:18-613
    15Tanzania Prisons143388:16-812
    16Kinondoni MC1622125:25-208

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
          Relegation