Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
26
Shots on target
12
Corner kicks
11
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
26
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
14
Corner kicks
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Jafari H. 🟨,
  • 25', Eshihanda B. , Kunambi K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Mhesa I. , Marungu O. A. ,
  • 60', Mkopi S. A. , Simchimba A. ,
  • 69', Abraham I. , Nakibinge J. ,
  • 78', Magata F. , Muhenga T. ,
  • 89', Mayombya Z. , Oyugi Siwa S. ,
  • 89', Datius P. , Manga O. ,
  • 89', Msafiri K. , Liuzio J. ,
  • 89', Lyawatwa H. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Evance F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Muhenga T. ,

Chances of winning


Mtibwa Sugar
36.5%
Draw
35.5%
Pamba
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 32.4% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Mtibwa Sugar - Pamba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.22)
    2.58
    (2.8)
    3.29
    (3.39)
    8.9%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
    • Mtibwa Sugar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pamba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mtibwa Sugar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Mtibwa Sugar
    21.01.2026 Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City 2:1
    18.01.2026 Simba - Mtibwa Sugar 1:1
    29.11.2025 Mtibwa Sugar - TRA United 2:1
    Latest results of Pamba
    06.12.2025 Prisons - Pamba 0:0
    29.11.2025 Pamba - Kinondoni MC 3:0
    25.10.2025 Dodoma Jiji - Pamba 1:0
    Tanzanian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Young Africans19145044:34147
    2Simba19126132:72542
    3Azam201010029:52440
    4JKT Tanzania2088421:20132
    5TRA United2086623:18530
    6Pamba2078521:19229
    7Singida Black Stars2085722:22029
    8Dodoma Jiji2067718:21-325
    9Namungo2058717:22-523
    10Mtibwa Sugar2058716:24-823
    11Coastal Union2057818:23-522
    12Mashujaa20410610:17-722
    13Fountain Gate20541111:28-1719
    14Mbeya City20461016:30-1418
    15Tanzania Prisons20351210:26-1614
    16Kinondoni MC2023158:31-239

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
          Relegation