Result
1:3
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (268/357) | 83% (363/435) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (268/357) | 83% (363/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 33% (19/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (63/95) | 57% (43/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (18/22) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Kovacevic F. ⚽,
- 39', Corbu M. 🟨,
- 41', Szepe J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 2, Acolatse E. ⚽,
- 62', Polievka R. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 62', Horvath A. ↓, Bognar I. ↑,
- 62', Szepe J. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
- 65', Kovacevic F. ↓, Dele ↑,
- 65', Corbu M. ↓, Madarasz A. ↑,
- 69', Nemeth H. 🟨,
- 71', Gomez M. ↓, Makreckis C. ↑,
- 71', Kerezsi Z. ↓, Jurek G. ↑,
- 72', Vitalyos V. ↓, Kovacs P. ↑,
- 72', Nemeth K. 🟨,
- 74', 0 - 3, Madarasz A. ⚽,
- 76', Osvath A. 🟨,
- 78', Acolatse E. ↓, O'Dowda C. ↑,
- 78', Zachariassen K. ↓, Rommens P. ↑,
- 79', Beriashvili I. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 3, Jurek G. ⚽, Nemeth K. (A),
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest
18.5% | Draw
21.6% | Ferencvárosi
59.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.97 ↑
(4.65) |
4.27 ↑
(4.26) |
1.55 ↓
(1.61) |
8.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 58.6% – 97%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ferencvárosi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 0.
- Recent form of MTK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ferencvárosi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ferencvárosi is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:45. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:28. (average 1.1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Ferencvárosi?
MTK Budapest has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against MTK Budapest?
Ferencvárosi has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi were as follows:
01.11.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
MTK Budapest
4:1
26.07.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Ferencvárosi
1:1
27.04.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Ferencvárosi
2:3
23.04.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
MTK Budapest
3:1
02.02.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
MTK Budapest
0:0
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Latest results of Ferencvárosi
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47:24 | 23 | 46 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44:25 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 | Paks | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | Puskas Academy | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 6 | Zalaegerszegi | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 35:29 | 6 | 34 |
| 7 | Kisvarda | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 42:51 | -9 | 25 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 31:39 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | DVTK | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 31:38 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 20:47 | -27 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
