Result
2:3
06/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (315/384) | 78% (228/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (315/384) | 78% (228/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (25/39) | 55% (39/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (79/116) | 60% (55/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.22 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Tapsuvanavon C. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, van Lingen O. ⚽, Eisa A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Ahannach A. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 2, van Lingen O. ⚽, Tapsuvanavon C. (A),
- 60', Do T. 🟨,
- 60', 0 - 3, Biesamrit N. ⚽, van Lingen O. (A),
- 63', Nuntagowat T. ↓, Phosri S. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 3, Ahannach A. ⚽,
- 69', Panthong S. ↓, Seangsawat K. ↑,
- 70', Biesamrit N. 🟨,
- 75', Eisa A. ↓, Promsrikaew C. ↑,
- 76', Tapsuvanavon C. ↓, Sansanit K. ↑,
- 77', Seaisakul P. 🟨,
- 80', Seaisakul P. ↓, Ablorh L. ↑,
- 81', Biesamrit N. ↓, Moraksa R. ↑,
- 87', van Lingen O. ↓, Kraisorn A. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 3, Lorenzen M. ⚽,
- 90', Roback E. ↓, Wettayawong K. ↑,
- 90+3', Khamyok K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bolingi J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Phosri S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Muangthong United
48.8% | Draw
26% | Chonburi
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Chonburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Muangthong United - Chonburi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.84) |
3.5 ↓
(3.57) |
3.61 ↓
(3.65) |
9.9%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Muangthong United - Chonburi?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Muangthong United (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Chonburi (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Muangthong United will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Muangthong United (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Chonburi (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 13)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 2.
- Muangthong United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chonburi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Muangthong United could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 2.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Chonburi?
Muangthong United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chonburi won against Muangthong United?
Chonburi has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Chonburi were as follows:
18.05.2024
Muangthong United
-
Chonburi
6:0
23.12.2023
Chonburi
-
Muangthong United
2:1
19.02.2023
Chonburi
-
Muangthong United
0:1
17.09.2022
Muangthong United
-
Chonburi
1:5
Latest results of Muangthong United
Latest results of Chonburi
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 69:23 | 46 | 63 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Bangkok Utd | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Ratchaburi | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 40:25 | 15 | 44 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:36 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 26 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 32:43 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 18:38 | -20 | 24 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
