Result
2:3
09/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Chances of winning
Muhanga 32.9% | Draw 32.2% | Gicumbi 34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muhanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Gicumbi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gicumbi than the current prediction. (+2%)
Muhanga - Gicumbi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.76 ↑ (2.66) |
2.81 ↓ (3) |
2.59 ↑ (2.5) |
10.5% (10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- Muhanga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gicumbi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gicumbi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muhanga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muhanga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Muhanga won against Gicumbi?
Muhanga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gicumbi won against Muhanga?
Gicumbi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muhanga - Gicumbi were as follows:
Latest results of Muhanga
Latest results of Gicumbi
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 45:16 | 29 | 42 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gicumbi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation