Result
 
                    2:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        17/09/2025 at  18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Primera Division - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Costa-rica | FUTV | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 44% | 56% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 17 | 8 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', Venegas J. ↓, Carvajal K. ↑, 
- 23', 1 - 0, Ayala L. ⚽, 
- 25', Quiros W. 🟨, 
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Huertas J. ↓, Leiva G. ↑, 
- 46', Chevez A. ↓, Padilla S. ↑, 
- 46', Fuller K. ↓, Orellano L. ↑, 
- 52', Mendez G. 🟨, 
- 56', Mendez G. ↓, Bonilla B. ↑, 
- 62', Matthews D. ↓, Lesme F. ↑, 
- 64', 2 - 1, Lesme F. ⚽, 
- 69', Maleck J. ↓, Guzman K. ↑, 
- 69', Ruiz J. ↓, Monge J. ↑, 
- 70', Taylor S. ↓, Gamez S. ↑, 
- 75', Ramirez R. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑, 
- 75', Lesme F. 🟨, 
- 75', Guzman K. 🟨, 
- 84', Morales E. 🟨, 
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Molina Y. ⚽, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Guadalupe 26%
 | Draw 28.6%
 | Municipal Liberia 45.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Municipal Liberia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (-1%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Guadalupe - Municipal Liberia Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.47 ↑ (3.27)
 | 3.2 ↓ (3.22)
 | 2.06 ↓ (2.15)
 | 8.6% (8.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Guadalupe - Municipal Liberia?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            9 users predict this event. Guadalupe will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Municipal Liberia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Municipal Liberia: 50.6% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Guadalupe is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Municipal Liberia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Municipal Liberia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Municipal Liberia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guadalupe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Guadalupe won against Municipal Liberia?
                    
                    
                        
                            Guadalupe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Municipal Liberia won against Guadalupe?
                    
                    
                        
                             Municipal Liberia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Guadalupe - Municipal Liberia were as follows:
                                                        
                                22.08.2024 
                                Municipal Liberia 
                                - 
                                Guadalupe 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Guadalupe                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Municipal Liberia                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Costa Rican Primera Division Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Alajuelense | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 27 | 
| 2 | Saprissa | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 26 | 
| 3 | Liberia | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 23 | 
| 4 | Cartagines | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 | 
| 5 | Zeledon | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 | 
| 6 | Puntarenas FC | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 | 
| 7 | Herediano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 16 | 
| 8 | Sporting San Jose | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 | 
| 9 | Guadalupe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 13 | 
| 10 | San Carlos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | 
      Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)