Result
1:2
21/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Prva liga - Round 31
- Referee: Smajc D. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Decoene M. 🟨,
- 43', Sadriu L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Grlic N. ↓, Tetteh B. ↑,
- 46', Decoene M. ↓, Caks R. ↑,
- 55', Caks R. ↓, Marosa A. ↑,
- 60', Ojo S. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Marosa A. (Pen),
- 69', Krajnc L. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 72', Antolin A. 🟨,
- 75', Kurtovic A. 🟨,
- 76', Ilicic J. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
- 76', Antolin A. ↓, Mlinar F. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Mbondo B. (A),
- 84', 1 - 2, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Repas J. (A),
- 87', Vizinger D. ↓, Julardzija E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mura
24.2% | Draw
26.2% | Maribor
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Maribor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mura than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maribor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mura - Maribor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.83 ↓
(4.13) |
3.54 ↑
(3.4) |
1.87 ↑
(1.82) |
7.8%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mura - Maribor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Mura will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Maribor will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maribor: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mura won 1.
- Mura has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Maribor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Maribor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Maribor is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Mura won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 21:35 (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mura won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mura won against Maribor?
Mura has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maribor won against Mura?
Maribor has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mura - Maribor were as follows:
22.02.2025
Maribor
-
Mura
2:0
26.10.2024
Mura
-
Maribor
1:1
11.08.2024
Maribor
-
Mura
2:1
09.04.2024
Maribor
-
Mura
5:0
18.02.2024
Mura
-
Maribor
Abandoned
Latest results of Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O. Ljubljana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Koper | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Celje | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Bravo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Maribor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Primorje | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Radomlje | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Aluminij | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Mura | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 10 | Domzale | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. SNL
