Subiaco vs Murdoch University Melville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WA State League - Round 20

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
42
Total shots
75
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
42
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Subiaco
33.1%
Draw
24.5%
Murdoch University Melville
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 26% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 24.9% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Subiaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Subiaco's form might have worsened.
  • Murdoch University Melville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murdoch University Melville's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiaco than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Subiaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murdoch University Melville than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murdoch University Melville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Subiaco - Murdoch University Melville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.23)
    3.73
    (3.45)
    2.16
    (2.66)
    9.5%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 6).
    • Subiaco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Murdoch Melville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Subiaco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Subiaco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Subiaco - Murdoch University Melville were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Murdoch University Melville - Subiaco 0:2
    27.07.2024 Subiaco - Murdoch University Melville 0:0
    04.05.2024 Murdoch University Melville - Subiaco 2:2
    Latest results of Subiaco
    23.08.2025 Subiaco - Joondalup City 1:4
    16.08.2025 Inglewood United - Subiaco 2:2
    02.08.2025 Kalamunda City - Subiaco 4:1
    26.07.2025 Gwelup Croatia - Subiaco 0:1
    19.07.2025 Subiaco - Gosnells City 1:1
    Australian WA State League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mandurah City11005:143
    2Floreat Athena11003:123
    3Joondalup11003:123
    4Quinns11002:023
    5Kingsley Westside11002:023
    6Cockburn City10102:201
    7Murdoch Melville10102:201
    8Gwelup Croatia10011:3-20
    9Nedlands10011:3-20
    10Inglewood Utd10010:2-20
    11Curtin Univ10010:2-20
    12Subiaco10011:5-40

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