Penedense vs Murici – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Alagoas - Round 2

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 76', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Penedense
45.5%
Draw
30.3%
Murici
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 30.5% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 30.5% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penedense's performance.
  • Murici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murici might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penedense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murici than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murici could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Penedense - Murici Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.28)
    3.01
    (2.99)
    3.77
    (3.08)
    9.7%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Penedense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Murici's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Penedense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Penedense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penedense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penedense - Murici were as follows:
    01.02.2026 Penedense - Murici 0:0
    11.01.2025 Penedense - Murici 1:0
    06.03.2024 Penedense - Murici 0:0
    02.03.2024 Murici - Penedense 0:0
    Latest results of Penedense
    Latest results of Murici
    01.02.2026 Penedense - Murici 0:0
    21.01.2026 Murici - CS Alagoano 0:1
    18.01.2026 Murici - Coruripe 1:0
    Brazilian Copa Alagoas Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coruripe22004:136
    2CRB21101:014
    3CSA21014:223
    4Cruzeiro Arapiraca20110:3-31
    5Dimensao Capela20020:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSE33007:259
    2ASA33004:139
    3Murici32017:166
    4SC Penedense41031:3-23
    5Zumbi20022:6-40
    6Miguelense30031:9-80

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