Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/03/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
46
Double Faults
74
1st serve percentage
57%70%
1st serve points won
73% (40/55)59% (51/87)
2nd serve points won
46% (19/41)54% (20/37)
Break Points Saved
5/95/10
1st return points won
41% (36/87)29% (16/55)
2nd return points won
46% (17/37)54% (22/41)
Break Points Converted
5/104/9
Winners
3124
Unforced errors
5446
Net points won
76% (19/25)50% (9/18)
Service Points Won
61% (59/96)57% (71/124)
Return Points Won
43% (53/124)39% (37/96)
Total Points Won
51% (112/220)49% (108/220)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
71% (10/14)69% (11/16)
Return games won
31% (5/16)29% (4/14)
Total games won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Mattia Bellucci
74.5%
Murphy Cassone
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.
  • Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murphy Cassone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murphy Cassone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mattia Bellucci - Murphy Cassone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.4)

    3.69
    (2.8)
    6.5%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Mattia Bellucci - Murphy Cassone?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bellucci is ranked ATP: 77. Cassone is ranked ATP: 256.
    • Bellucci is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cassone has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bellucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bellucci won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mattia Bellucci - Murphy Cassone were as follows:
    13.03.2023 Murphy Cassone - Mattia Bellucci 1:2
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Latest results of Murphy Cassone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Marozsan F.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    4ByeKorda S. (32)
    5Darderi L. (17)Bye
    6Giron M.Landaluce M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Duckworth J.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    8ByeKhachanov K. (14)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Quinn E.Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    11Kouame M. (WC)Svajda Z. (Q)2 : 1
    12ByeLehecka J. (21)
    13Draper J. (25)Bye
    14Opelka R.Borges N.2 : 1
    15Shapovalov D.Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    16ByeFritz T. (6)
    17Vukic A. (LL)Bye
    18Jodar R. (Q)Hanfmann Y. (Q)2 : 1
    19Bergs Z.Brooksby J.2 : 0
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (29)
    21Paul T. (22)Bye
    22Zhang Z. (PR)Mannarino A.0 : 2
    23Collignon R.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    24ByeCobolli F. (13)
    25Bublik A. (10)Bye
    26Muller A.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    27Basilashvili N. (Q)Navone M.0 : 2
    28ByeVacherot V. (24)
    29Fils A. (28)Bye
    30Blanch Dar. (WC)Struff J-L.2 : 1
    31Tsitsipas S.Fery A. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    33Shelton B. (8)Bye
    34Arnaldi M.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    35Diallo G.Wu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    36ByeHumbert U. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (18)Bye
    38Royer V.Tirante T. A. (LL)1 : 2
    39Kovacevic A.Sakamoto R. (WC)1 : 2
    40ByeMedvedev D. (9)
    41Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Bye
    42Halys Q.Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    43Majchrzak K.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    44ByeTien L. (20)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Cilic M.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    47Damm M. (WC)Fearnley J. (RET.)1 : 0
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Bye
    50O'Connell C. (Q)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    51Atmane T.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    52ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    53Tiafoe F. (19)Bye
    54Cazaux A.Barrios Vera T. (Q)2 : 0
    55Walton A. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Rublev A. (15)Bye
    58Tabilo A.Comesana F.2 : 0
    59Michelsen A.Bellucci M. (Q)2 : 0
    60ByeNorrie C. (23)
    61Moutet C. (30)Bye
    62Nava E.Machac T.1 : 2
    63Buse I. (Q)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    2Ugo Carabelli C.Korda S. (32)0 : 2
    3Darderi L. (17)Landaluce M.1 : 2
    4Bautista-Agut R.Khachanov K. (14)0 : 2
    5Ruud C. (11)Quinn E.0 : 2
    6Kouame M.Lehecka J. (21)0 : 2
    7Draper J. (25)Opelka R.0 : 2
    8Van De Zandschulp B.Fritz T. (6)1 : 2
    9Vukic A.Jodar R.0 : 2
    10Bergs Z.Etcheverry T. M. (29)0 : 2
    11Paul T. (22)Mannarino A.2 : 1
    12Collignon R.Cobolli F. (13)2 : 0
    13Bublik A. (10)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    14Navone M.Vacherot V. (24)0 : 2
    15Fils A. (28)Blanch Dar.2 : 0
    16Tsitsipas S.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    17Shelton B. (8)Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    18Diallo G.Humbert U. (31)0 : 2
    19Cerundolo F. (18)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    20Sakamoto R.Medvedev D. (9)1 : 2
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Halys Q.0 : 2
    22Majchrzak K.Tien L. (20)2 : 1
    23Nakashima B. (27)Cilic M.1 : 2
    24Damm M.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    26Atmane T.Rinderknech A. (26)2 : 0
    27Tiafoe F. (19)Cazaux A.2 : 0
    28Walton A.Mensik J. (12)1 : 2
    29Rublev A. (15)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    30Michelsen A.Norrie C. (23)2 : 1
    31Moutet C. (30)Machac T.2 : 1
    32Dzumhur D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Korda S. (32)1 : 2
    2Landaluce M.Khachanov K. (14)2 : 0
    3Quinn E.Lehecka J. (21)0 : 2
    4Opelka R.Fritz T. (6)0 : 2
    5Jodar R.Etcheverry T. M. (29)0 : 2
    6Paul T. (22)Collignon R.2 : 1
    7Berrettini M.Vacherot V. (24)0 : 2
    8Fils A. (28)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    9Shevchenko A.Humbert U. (31)0 : 2
    10Cerundolo F. (18)Medvedev D. (9)2 : 1
    11Halys Q.Majchrzak K.2 : 0
    12Cilic M.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Atmane T.1 : 2
    14Tiafoe F. (19)Mensik J. (12)2 : 1
    15Tabilo A.Michelsen A.1 : 2
    16Moutet C. (30)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Korda S. (32)Landaluce M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J. (21)Fritz T. (6)2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (29)Paul T. (22)0 : 2
    4Vacherot V. (24)Fils A. (28)1 : 2
    5Humbert U. (31)Cerundolo F. (18)0 : 2
    6Halys Q.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Atmane T.Tiafoe F. (19)1 : 2
    8Michelsen A.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Landaluce M.Lehecka J. (21)0 : 2
    2Paul T. (22)Fils A. (28)1 : 2
    3Cerundolo F. (18)Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    4Tiafoe F. (19)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Lehecka J. (21)Fils A. (28)2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Lehecka J. (21)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2