Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
13/03/2026 at 09:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
30
1st serve percentage
52%71%
1st serve points won
54% (13/24)83% (24/29)
2nd serve points won
36% (8/22)67% (8/12)
Break Points Saved
3/82/2
1st return points won
24% (7/29)63% (15/24)
2nd return points won
33% (4/12)64% (14/22)
Break Points Converted
0/25/8
Winners
811
Unforced errors
2013
Net points won
0% (0/4)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
47% (21/45)78% (31/40)
Return Points Won
23% (9/40)53% (24/45)
Total Points Won
35% (30/85)65% (55/85)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
29% (2/7)100% (7/7)
Return games won
0% (0/7)71% (5/7)
Total games won
14% (2/14)86% (12/14)

Chances of winning


Murphy Cassone
50.8%
Pavel Kotov
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Murphy Cassone - Pavel Kotov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.78)

    1.87
    (1.91)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Murphy Cassone - Pavel Kotov?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Murphy Cassone will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.75%98.49%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Murphy Cassone will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cassone is ranked ATP: 275. Kotov is ranked ATP: 402.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Murphy Cassone
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    10.02.2026 Pavel Kotov - Luca Van Assche Kotov P. retired
    08.02.2026 Pavel Kotov - Tom Gentzsch 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bertola R.0 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Faurel T. (WC)2 : 1
    3Sels J.Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (WC)Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Added D.1 : 2
    6Krumich M.Cassone M.0 : 2
    7Smith K.Martineau M.1 : 2
    8Kotov P.Chidekh C. (6)2 : 1
    9Rodionov J. (5)Janvier M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Knaff A. (LL)Visker N. (Q)2 : 0
    11Onclin G.Gueymard Wayenburg S. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paris T.Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    13Tabur C. (7)Nishikori K.2 : 0
    14Ghibaudo A. (Q)Bailly G. A.2 : 1
    15Perot R. (Alt)Romano F. (Q)1 : 2
    16Brady P. (Q)Herbert P. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Bertola R.Holmgren A.2 : 0
    2Blancaneaux G.Gojo B. (8)1 : 2
    3Added D.Cassone M.0 : 2
    4Martineau M.Kotov P.1 : 2
    5Rodionov J. (5)Knaff A.2 : 0
    6Onclin G.Poullain L.2 : 0
    7Tabur C. (7)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    8Romano F.Brady P.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Bertola R.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    2Cassone M.Kotov P.0 : 2
    3Rodionov J. (5)Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Tabur C. (7)Romano F.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gojo B. (8)Kotov P.1 : 2
    2Rodionov J. (5)Romano F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Kotov P.Romano F.