Murphy Cassone vs Petr Nesterov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/02/2026 at 04:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
38
Double Faults
50
1st serve percentage
70%72%
1st serve points won
78% (51/65)72% (47/65)
2nd serve points won
39% (11/28)64% (16/25)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)63% (5/8)
1st return points won
28% (18/65)22% (14/65)
2nd return points won
36% (9/25)61% (17/28)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)43% (3/7)
Winners
2531
Unforced errors
3728
Net points won
64% (9/14)82% (9/11)
Service Points Won
67% (62/93)70% (63/90)
Return Points Won
30% (27/90)33% (31/93)
Total Points Won
49% (89/183)51% (94/183)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
81% (13/16)81% (13/16)
Return games won
19% (3/16)19% (3/16)
Total games won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Murphy Cassone
75.7%
Petr Nesterov
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.4% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Murphy Cassone - Petr Nesterov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.27)

    3.97
    (3.5)
    6.5%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Murphy Cassone - Petr Nesterov?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cassone (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cassone is ranked ATP: 255. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 499.
    • Cassone is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nesterov is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Cassone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cassone is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 3.59.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Murphy Cassone
    Latest results of Petr Nesterov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)1 : 2
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)0 : 2
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)1 : 2
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.2 : 1
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Topo M. (RET.)Huesler M.1 : 1
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Nesterov P.2 : 0
    2Dodig M.Skatov T. (7)2 : 1
    3Brunclik P.Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    4Moro Canas A.Stricker D.0 : 2
    5Mrva M.Mmoh M.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Holmgren A. (8)Brunold M.0 : 2
    8Huesler M.Glinka D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Stricker D.2 : 0
    3Mrva M.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Huesler M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Piros Z. (3)Brunold M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Piros Z. (3)1 : 2