Result
2:5
17/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 13
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (120/190) | 81% (267/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 3.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (120/190) | 81% (267/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 41% (23/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (60/106) | 79% (62/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.08 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.92 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Miranda B. ⚽, Caicedo E. (A),
- 23', Arce L. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 29', Penilla C. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Olinick A. ⚽, Velasco P. (A),
- 32', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 2, Parrales M. ⚽, Mena A. (A),
- 44', 2 - 2, Caicedo E. ⚽, Alonso M. (A),
- 45+3', Achilier G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 49', Tapiero S. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 3, Velasco P. ⚽,
- 58', Alonso M. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
- 58', Gracia A. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 4, Herrera A. ⚽, Parrales M. (A),
- 65', 2 - 5, Parrales M. ⚽, Mena A. (A),
- 70', Penilla C. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 74', Olinick A. ↓, Vasquez S. ↑,
- 74', Parrales M. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 85', Molina N. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
- 89', Mena A. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
- 89', Herrera A. ↓, Coronel D. ↑,
- 90+3', Mina G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
- 90+4', Velasco P. 🟨,
- 90+5', Vasquez S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
53.1% | Draw
27.1% | Orense
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Mushuc Runa - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.83) |
3.43 ↓
(3.49) |
4.69 ↑
(4.2) |
7.4%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Orense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Mushuc Runa will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mushuc Runa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Orense?
Mushuc Runa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Mushuc Runa?
Orense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Orense were as follows:
05.03.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Orense
2:1
22.09.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Orense
3:0
05.04.2024
Orense
-
Mushuc Runa
2:2
10.11.2023
Orense
-
Mushuc Runa
1:0
03.06.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Orense
3:1
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Aucas | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Orense | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Libertad | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 35 |
| 9 | Emelec | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | Delfin | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Tecnico U | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Vinotinto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Macara | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Manta | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
