Result
3:2
19/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 5
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 75% (12/16) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 75% (12/16) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 67% (2/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -2.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Herrera A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 16', 2 - 0, Bermudez M. ⚽, Burgoa V. (A),
- 23', Bermudez M. 🟨,
- 27', 3 - 0, Herrera A. ⚽,
- 45+6', Bermudez M. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Carrillo R. ↓, Dibble N. ↑,
- 46', Pico O. ↓, Mina F. ↑,
- 46', Caicedo E. ↓, Castelli F. ↑,
- 61', Armas D. ↓, Pluas E. ↑,
- 61', Burgoa V. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 73', Peralta K. 🟨,
- 75', Mina F. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 1, Mina F. ⚽,
- 81', Herrera A. 🟨,
- 86', Caicedo B. ↓, Garces L. ↑,
- 86', Vasquez S. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 90', Carabali F. ↓, Minda T. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Castelli F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Orense
49.1% | Draw
27.3% | Mushuc Runa
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Orense - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.01) |
3.37 ↑
(3.18) |
3.87 ↑
(3.6) |
8.5%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Orense - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Orense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.
- Orense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Orense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Orense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Mushuc Runa?
Orense has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Orense?
Mushuc Runa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
13.09.2025
Orense
-
Mushuc Runa
3:1
17.05.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Orense
2:5
05.03.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Orense
2:1
22.09.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Orense
3:0
05.04.2024
Orense
-
Mushuc Runa
2:2
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Libertad | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
