Result
0:0
29/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Relegation Group - Round 6
- Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (319/375) | 79% (213/271) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (319/375) | 79% (213/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 48% (29/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (54/87) | 58% (45/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hernandez E. ↓, Nardelli G. ↑,
- 46', Bentaberry B. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
- 61', Ushina K. 🟨,
- 68', Gomez L. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 74', Burbano R. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
- 80', Penilla C. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
- 80', Melo A. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
- 86', Ibarra R. ↓, Mera F. ↑,
- 90+1', Peralta K. ↓, Chala Rosales W. J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vinotinto
15.2% | Draw
24.7% | Mushuc Runa
60.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.85 ↑
(2.61) |
3.87 ↑
(3.21) |
1.73 ↓
(2.66) |
0.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25, 1st Half - Mushuc Runa (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +1 - Vinotinto (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Vinotinto (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Mushuc Runa (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mushuc Runa will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Vinotinto (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Mushuc Runa (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Vinotinto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mushuc Runa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Mushuc Runa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Mushuc Runa?
Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Vinotinto?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
18.10.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Vinotinto
2:1
13.07.2025
Vinotinto
-
Mushuc Runa
1:1
14.03.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Vinotinto
1:2
Latest results of Vinotinto
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 40 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 67:30 | 37 | 82 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 68:41 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 67 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 40 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 67:50 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | Orense | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 44:48 | -4 | 58 |
| 6 | Libertad | 40 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 54:51 | 3 | 56 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
