Result
1:2
14/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Round 5
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 34 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (157/250) | 57% (136/239) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 52% (67/130) | 41% (40/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (15/59) | 14% (1/7) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 90% (9/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 71 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 34', Mera F. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Monti R. ⚽, Mina A. (A),
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Monti R. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Perlaza P. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 46', Arce L. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 46', Penilla C. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 46', Miranda B. ↓, Rigoleto M. ↑,
- 49', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 2, Quintero D. ⚽, Gracia A. (A),
- 57', Gomez L. 🟨,
- 61', Quintero D. ↓, Parrales J. ↑,
- 68', Monti R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 77', Mina A. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 77', Mera F. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
- 87', Ushina K. 🟨,
- 88', Luna D. 🟨,
- 90', Formento R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Luna D. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
54% | Draw
26.3% | Vinotinto
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Mushuc Runa - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.75) |
3.5 ↓
(3.54) |
4.72 ↑
(4.57) |
8%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Vinotinto?
Users Predictions:
Mushuc Runa will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Mushuc Runa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Vinotinto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Vinotinto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Mushuc Runa is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Vinotinto?
Mushuc Runa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Mushuc Runa?
Vinotinto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Vinotinto were as follows:
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 34:16 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Dep. Cuenca | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | Orense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
| 6 | Aucas | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Delfin | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:23 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Libertad | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Vinotinto | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Manta | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 13 | Macara | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 | Emelec | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 19 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 15 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Mushuc Runa - Vinotinto?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
