Vinotinto vs Mushuc Runa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa
Result
1:1
13/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 20
  • Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.73
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
115
Passes
83% (348/421)76% (175/231)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.25
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
83% (348/421)76% (175/231)
Long passes
56% (38/68)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
62% (68/109)61% (51/84)
Crosses
20% (6/30)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.47
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
1210
Tackles
77% (10/13)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4047
Clearances
1933
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.251.55
Goals prevented
-0.750.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Burbano R. , Caicedo E. ,
  • 52', 1 - 0, Lugo J. (Pen),
  • 53', Gomez L. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Dos Santos J. , Verges J. (A),
  • 66', Larotonda C. , Julio M. ,
  • 75', Verges J. , Arce J. ,
  • 79', Ibarra R. , Mina A. ,
  • 84', Dos Santos J. , Simisterra R. ,
  • 87', Arce J. 🟨,
  • 90', Monti R. , Molina N. ,

Chances of winning


Vinotinto
36.6%
Draw
28.1%
Mushuc Runa
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 28.5% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 27% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • The chances for Mushuc Runa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.52)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    2.62
    (2.58)
    8.5%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vinotinto: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vinotinto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mushuc Runa (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • Vinotinto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mushuc Runa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Mushuc Runa - Vinotinto 1:2
    Latest results of Vinotinto
    05.07.2025 Emelec - Vinotinto 2:0
    30.06.2025 Vinotinto - SD Aucas 0:1
    14.06.2025 Vinotinto - LDU Quito 1:2
    02.06.2025 Vinotinto - Libertad Loja 1:0
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2LDU Quito22117438:211740
    3Barcelona SC22115633:26738
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Libertad2196631:26533
    7Aucas2195728:26232
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2158827:34-723
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )