Result
1:1
11/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Mutondo Stars 32.7% | Draw 34.7% | Nkana 32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mutondo Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Nkana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutondo Stars than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nkana than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Mutondo Stars - Nkana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.8 ↑ (2.67) |
2.63 ↓ (2.7) |
2.8 ↑ (2.72) |
9.5% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
- Mutondo Stars is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nkana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Mutondo Stars has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mutondo Stars won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mutondo Stars won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mutondo Stars won against Nkana?
Mutondo Stars has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nkana won against Mutondo Stars?
Nkana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mutondo Stars - Nkana were as follows:
04.10.2025
Nkana
-
Mutondo Stars
0:0
11.01.2025
Nkana
-
Mutondo Stars
2:0
25.08.2024
Mutondo Stars
-
Nkana
1:1
06.01.2024
Nkana
-
Mutondo Stars
2:1
27.08.2023
Mutondo Stars
-
Nkana
1:0
Latest results of Mutondo Stars
Zambian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Power Dynamos | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 36:15 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Red Arrows | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 34:17 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | Nchanga Rangers | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 25:17 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | Zanaco | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 25:16 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Mufulira | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 19:16 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Kabwe | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 7 | MUZA | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Green Eagles | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 21:18 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Konkola | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Green Buffaloes | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 24:28 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Nkana | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 16:22 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | ZESCO | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 13 | Kansanshi | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 18:21 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Mutondo Stars | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 15:26 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 16:25 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Nkwazi | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14:23 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Prison Leopards | 26 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 18:32 | -14 | 21 |
| 18 | Mines | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 15 |
Promotion
Relegation