Almere City vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yanmar Stadion (Almere).

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 26
Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 9
Canada	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
India	Eurosport, JioTV app
Montenegro	Sportklub 9
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 9
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	SportKlub 9
Slovakia	Arena sport 1, Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.83
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Goal Attempts
13	12
Shots on Goal
5	3
Shots off Goal
8	6
Blocked Shots
0	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
Free Kicks
5	6
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
6	5
Yellow Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
31	19
Touches in the Opposition Box
26	19
Passes
77% (267/349)	75% (288/385)
Passes in the final third
61% (72/118)	57% (71/125)
Crosses
36% (8/22)	30% (7/23)
Tackles
60% (6/10)	73% (16/22)
Clearances Total
48	50
Interceptions
11	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, van Hooijdonk S. ⚽, Lucassen B. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Brym C. ⚽, Tahiri A. (A),
40', Akujobi H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Omarsson E. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
58', Sauer L. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
58', Lucassen B. ↓, Staring C. ↑,
78', Kemper B. ↓, Kongolo T. ↑,
79', Hansen K. ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
79', Tahiri A. ↓, Receveur T. ↑,
84', Brym C. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
84', Kadile J. ↓, Nalic A. ↑,
89', Busi M. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,

Chances of winning

Almere City
42.9%

Draw
27.7%

NAC Breda
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.5%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.7%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almere City's performance.

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NAC Breda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almere City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NAC Breda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Almere City - NAC Breda Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.68)	3.43 ↓ (3.56)	3.24 ↑ (2.46)	4.9% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Almere City - NAC Breda?

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 36 - 75%). Breda will win (votes: 4 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 62.8% – 87.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Almere City won 1.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Recently Almere City have a series of guest games.
Almere City will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Almere City: Carbonell A. (Hamstring Injury) Ritmeester van de Kamp J. (Head Injury)
There are questionable in Breda: Garbett M. (Injury) Paula R. (Injury) Valerius C. (Knee Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Almere City won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:22 (average 0.7:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Almere City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.7:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against NAC Breda?

Almere City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Almere City?

NAC Breda has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - NAC Breda were as follows:

30.11.2024 NAC Breda - Almere City 1:0

07.05.2023 Almere City - NAC Breda 0:2

16.12.2022 NAC Breda - Almere City 0:1

Latest results of Almere City

09.03.2025 Twente - Almere City 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Almere City - Ajax 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Feyenoord - Almere City 2:1 ✺

16.02.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Almere City 2:2 ✺

09.02.2025 Utrecht - Almere City 0:1 ✺

Latest results of NAC Breda

07.03.2025 NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Utrecht - NAC Breda 1:0 ✺

15.02.2025 NAC Breda - Feyenoord 0:0 ✺

09.02.2025 Waalwijk - NAC Breda 5:0 ✺

31.01.2025 NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo 1:1 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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