NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
31/08/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 4
  • Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8, SportKlub
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
japanJapanU-NEXT
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3, SportKlub 8
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.822.49
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1125
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
76% (218/288)86% (397/461)
Yellow Cards
05
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.822.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.232.52
Total shots
1125
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
915
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2448
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
118
Passes
76% (218/288)86% (397/461)
Long passes
42% (23/55)56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
67% (55/82)82% (151/184)
Crosses
27% (4/15)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.702.57
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
813
Tackles
56% (10/18)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4941
Clearances
2827
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
76
xGOT faced
2.521.23
Goals prevented
1.521.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', de Wit M. 🟨,
  • 41', van Hooijdonk S. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Nassoh M. , Brym C. ,
  • 46', Talvitie J. , Valerius C. ,
  • 55', Sadiq I. 🟨,
  • 56', Brym C. (Pen),
  • 60', Sadiq I. , Weslley Patati ,
  • 60', de Wit M. , Mijnans S. ,
  • 67', Greiml L. , Mahmutovic E. ,
  • 69', Penetra 🟨,
  • 81', Kasius D. , Zeefuik L. ,
  • 81', Daal R. , Jensen I. ,
  • 83', Smit K. 🟨,
  • 86', Smit K. , Sin M. ,
  • 89', 0 - 1, Mijnans S. , Sin M. (A),
  • 90+1', Holtby L. , Leemans C. ,
  • 90+1', Lucassen B. , Versluis D. ,
  • 90+4', Mijnans S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
19.8%
Draw
23.7%
AZ Alkmaar
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.5% 22.1% 61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2% 21.7% 62.6%

NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.84
(5.7)
4.02
(4.25)
1.7
(1.53)
4.3%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). AZ will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 65%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
    • Breda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, AZ is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Breda: Brym C. (Arm Injury) Kongolo T. (Muscle Injury) Soumano M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in AZ: Maikuma S. (Knee Injury) Sin M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Meerdink M. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1
    15.12.2024 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    24.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    09.08.2025 Feyenoord - NAC Breda 2:0
    02.08.2025 Norwich City - NAC Breda 2:0
    29.07.2025 NAC Breda - Volos 0:0
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    28.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia 4:1
    21.08.2025 Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    17.08.2025 Volendam - AZ Alkmaar 2:2
    14.08.2025 Vaduz - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    10.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 4:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV18161157:223549
    2Feyenoord18113444:232136
    3Ajax1896335:241133
    4Nijmegen1785443:291429
    5AZ Alkmaar1784532:28428
    6Groningen1884625:22328
    7Twente1868427:22526
    8Sparta Rotterdam1882820:31-1126
    9Heerenveen1866631:28324
    10Utrecht1765628:23523
    11Sittard1864827:31-422
    12G.A. Eagles1848628:31-320
    13Zwolle1855822:39-1720
    14Excelsior17611017:32-1519
    15Telstar1836922:30-815
    16NAC Breda18351016:26-1014
    17FC Volendam18351019:32-1314
    18Heracles18421226:46-2014

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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