Result
0:1
31/08/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 4
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8, SportKlub |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 8 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (218/288) | 86% (397/461) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 48 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (218/288) | 86% (397/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (23/55) | 56% (23/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (55/82) | 82% (151/184) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', de Wit M. 🟨,
- 41', van Hooijdonk S. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Nassoh M. ↓, Brym C. ↑,
- 46', Talvitie J. ↓, Valerius C. ↑,
- 55', Sadiq I. 🟨,
- 56', Brym C. (Pen),
- 60', Sadiq I. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
- 60', de Wit M. ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
- 67', Greiml L. ↓, Mahmutovic E. ↑,
- 69', Penetra 🟨,
- 81', Kasius D. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
- 81', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
- 83', Smit K. 🟨,
- 86', Smit K. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Mijnans S. ⚽, Sin M. (A),
- 90+1', Holtby L. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 90+1', Lucassen B. ↓, Versluis D. ↑,
- 90+4', Mijnans S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
19.8% | Draw
23.7% | AZ Alkmaar
56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.84 ↓
(5.7) |
4.02 ↓
(4.25) |
1.7 ↑
(1.53) |
4.3%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). AZ will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 65% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - AZ (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
- Breda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, AZ is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Breda: Brym C.
(Arm Injury)
Kongolo T.
(Muscle Injury)
Soumano M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in AZ: Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
Sin M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AZ: Meerdink M.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against AZ Alkmaar?
NAC Breda has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against NAC Breda?
AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
24.04.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
NAC Breda
1:1
15.12.2024
NAC Breda
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:2
Latest results of NAC Breda
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
