NAC Breda vs Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie Women - Round 7
  • Referee: de Vries D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
510
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
88
Corner Kicks
510

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Hilhorst N. , Hendriks K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gomez I. , Martina S. ,
  • 63', De With L. 🟨,
  • 65', Helderman Y. , Yamamoto M. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Schneijderberg J. , van Goch Y. (A),
  • 71', Homan C. , Haizoun D. ,
  • 72', van Spijk V. , Balkhir H. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Franken B. , Heshof K. (A),
  • 87', Schneijderberg J. , van Dalen I. ,
  • 90+1', van der Vliet E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
31.9%
Draw
26%
Excelsior
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 24.7% 50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 20.7% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NAC Breda's performance.
  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excelsior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • NAC Breda - Excelsior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.74)
    3.56
    (3.72)
    2.2
    (1.81)
    8.2%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Breda is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Excelsior has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Excelsior is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    02.11.2025 Zwolle - NAC Breda 4:0
    12.10.2025 NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven 0:5
    05.10.2025 Hera United - NAC Breda 1:1
    28.09.2025 NAC Breda - Utrecht 1:3
    21.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 6:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    02.11.2025 Excelsior - Utrecht 2:4
    12.10.2025 Ajax - Excelsior 3:0
    05.10.2025 Excelsior - Zwolle 0:1
    28.09.2025 Heerenveen - Excelsior 1:3
    21.09.2025 Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar 1:3
    Dutch Eredivisie Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Twente W15114045:103537
    2PSV W15112238:112735
    3Feyenoord W15103230:121833
    4Ajax W1493240:132730
    5PEC Zwolle W1590625:18727
    6Utrecht W1463526:29-321
    7Heerenveen W1561827:37-1019
    8Hera United W1435613:25-1214
    9AZ Alkmaar W1433823:30-712
    10NAC Breda W1421119:46-377
    11Den Haag W1513119:37-286
    12Excelsior W14121113:30-175

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification: )
          Relegation