NAC Breda vs Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie Women - Round 7
  • Referee: de Vries D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
510
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
88
Corner Kicks
510

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Hilhorst N. , Hendriks K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gomez I. , Martina S. ,
  • 63', De With L. 🟨,
  • 65', Helderman Y. , Yamamoto M. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Schneijderberg J. , van Goch Y. (A),
  • 71', Homan C. , Haizoun D. ,
  • 72', van Spijk V. , Balkhir H. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Franken B. , Heshof K. (A),
  • 87', Schneijderberg J. , van Dalen I. ,
  • 90+1', van der Vliet E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
31.9%
Draw
26%
Excelsior
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 24.7% 50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 20.7% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NAC Breda's performance.
  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excelsior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • NAC Breda - Excelsior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.74)
    3.56
    (3.72)
    2.2
    (1.81)
    8.2%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Breda is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Excelsior has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Excelsior is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    02.11.2025 Zwolle - NAC Breda 4:0
    12.10.2025 NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven 0:5
    05.10.2025 Hera United - NAC Breda 1:1
    28.09.2025 NAC Breda - Utrecht 1:3
    21.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 6:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    02.11.2025 Excelsior - Utrecht 2:4
    12.10.2025 Ajax - Excelsior 3:0
    05.10.2025 Excelsior - Zwolle 0:1
    28.09.2025 Heerenveen - Excelsior 1:3
    21.09.2025 Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar 1:3
    Dutch Eredivisie Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV W18133249:133642
    2Twente W18124248:133540
    3Ajax W18124247:163140
    4Feyenoord W18114336:171937
    5PEC Zwolle W1891826:23328
    6Utrecht W1884632:32028
    7Heerenveen W1872931:41-1023
    8AZ Alkmaar W1855832:37-520
    9Hera United W1845917:34-1717
    10Den Haag W18431116:40-2415
    11NAC Breda W17211414:56-427
    12Excelsior W17121415:41-265

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification: )
          Relegation