Waalwijk vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Waalwijk - NAC Breda
Result
5:0
09/02/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 22
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.511.29
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
2014
Shots on Goal
92
Shots off Goal
56
Blocked Shots
66
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
125
Offsides
30
Fouls
512
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
1529
Touches in the Opposition Box
3322
Passes
80% (347/435)73% (285/389)
Passes in the final third
70% (76/109)57% (67/117)
Crosses
35% (6/17)24% (4/17)
Tackles
53% (10/19)67% (12/18)
Clearances Total
3222
Interceptions
1915

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Margaret R. ,
  • 14', 2 - 0, Oukili Y. , Margaret R. (A),
  • 28', 3 - 0, Zawada O. , Ihattaren M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kuijpers R. , Busi M. ,
  • 47', Sauer L. 🟨,
  • 63', Janosek D. , Leemans C. ,
  • 63', Jensen F. , Staring C. ,
  • 72', 4 - 0, Zawada O. , Oukili Y. (A),
  • 76', Omarsson E. , Kaied A. ,
  • 76', Sauer L. , Kostorz K. ,
  • 77', Zawada O. , Kramer M. ,
  • 77', Felida K. , el Yaakoubi R. ,
  • 77', Margaret R. , van der Venne R. ,
  • 77', Familia-Castillo J. , Meijers A. ,
  • 81', Oukili Y. , Lokesa C. ,
  • 89', 5 - 0, Lokesa C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
41.8%
Draw
26.4%
NAC Breda
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 26.9% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 26.8% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waalwijk's performance.
  • NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Waalwijk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Waalwijk - NAC Breda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.57)
    3.59
    (3.48)
    2.99
    (2.55)
    5.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Waalwijk - NAC Breda?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Breda will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Breda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Breda have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Breda: Paula R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Valerius C. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:27 (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Waalwijk won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.5:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - NAC Breda were as follows:
    26.10.2024 NAC Breda - Waalwijk 4:1
    19.07.2023 NAC Breda - Waalwijk 2:3
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    02.02.2025 Almere City - Waalwijk 1:4
    26.01.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:0
    15.01.2025 Waalwijk - Utrecht 1:2
    11.01.2025 Ajax - Waalwijk 2:1
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    25.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda 3:2
    19.01.2025 NAC Breda - Twente 2:1
    12.01.2025 NAC Breda - Heerenveen 2:4
    07.01.2025 NAC Breda - Servette 3:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nijmegen330012:1119
    2PSV330012:399
    3Ajax32106:247
    4Feyenoord22004:136
    5Zwolle22003:036
    6Utrecht32019:366
    7Sparta Rotterdam32016:7-16
    8AZ Alkmaar21106:334
    9FC Volendam30305:503
    10Twente31022:4-23
    11Groningen31025:9-43
    12NAC Breda31022:6-43
    13G.A. Eagles30214:7-32
    14Sittard20113:4-11
    15Heerenveen30123:5-21
    16Telstar30122:6-41
    17Excelsior30032:11-90
    18Heracles30031:10-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie