Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 28
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (265/361) | 80% (362/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (265/361) | 80% (362/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/69) | 49% (33/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (57/101) | 67% (83/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 35% (12/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Oosting T. ⚽, Velanas O. (A),
- 24', 2 - 0, Velanas O. ⚽,
- 39', Gooijer T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Velanas O. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
- 58', Thomas R. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
- 60', Fichtinger N. 🟨,
- 62', Odoi D. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Nassoh M. ⚽, Paula R. (A),
- 68', Salama A. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
- 68', Brym C. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
- 68', Paula R. ↓, Ghalidi B. ↑,
- 79', Oosting T. ↓, Aertssen O. ↑,
- 82', Hillen R. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
- 87', Balard M. ↓, Mahmutovic E. ↑,
- 87', Floranus S. ↓, van der Haar D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zwolle
40.8% | Draw
27.5% | NAC Breda
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Zwolle - NAC Breda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.34) |
3.45 ↑
(3.38) |
2.99 ↑
(2.78) |
5.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zwolle - NAC Breda?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Breda will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 19.1% – 73.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Zwolle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Zwolle might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S.
(Muscle Injury)
Monteiro J.
(Muscle Injury)
Schendelaar J.
(Thigh Injury)
Voute D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zwolle: Floranus S.
(Inactive)
Gooijer T.
(Injury)
Thomas R.
(Injury)
van der Haar D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Soumano M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against NAC Breda?
Zwolle has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Zwolle?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - NAC Breda were as follows:
18.10.2025
NAC Breda
-
Zwolle
2:2
04.05.2025
NAC Breda
-
Zwolle
1:3
20.10.2024
Zwolle
-
NAC Breda
1:2
17.03.2023
Zwolle
-
NAC Breda
2:0
19.11.2022
NAC Breda
-
Zwolle
0:2
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 82:40 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 71:47 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 54:37 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 53:47 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 41 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 35 |
| 12 | Sittard | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:58 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Telstar | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 38:48 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 29:49 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Heracles | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 34:74 | -40 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
