NAC Breda vs Zwolle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
18/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 9
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.541.47
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
82% (362/442)85% (432/511)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
2.541.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.370.48
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
3011
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
82% (362/442)85% (432/511)
Long passes
36% (17/47)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
76% (98/129)69% (75/109)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.711.14
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
1114
Tackles
70% (14/20)58% (11/19)
Duels won
6246
Clearances
2530
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.482.37
Goals prevented
-1.520.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 22', Floranus S. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, van Hooijdonk S. , Holtby L. (A),
  • 40', 2 - 0, van Hooijdonk S. (Pen),
  • 43', 2 - 1, Kostons K. , Floranus S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Faberski J. , Mbayo D. ,
  • 60', Thomas R. , Fichtinger N. ,
  • 61', Gooijer T. , Aertssen O. ,
  • 64', Brym C. , Talvitie J. ,
  • 65', Graves S. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 2, Monteiro J. , Fichtinger N. (A),
  • 79', Nassoh M. , Leemans C. ,
  • 79', Sowah K. , Paula R. ,
  • 79', Valerius C. , Lucassen B. ,
  • 83', de Rooij K. , Shoretire S. ,
  • 86', Holtby L. , Reulen P. ,
  • 87', Oosting T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Oosting T. , Reiziger G. ,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
49.2%
Draw
26.1%
Zwolle
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 25.6% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 23.7% 31.5%

NAC Breda - Zwolle Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.97
(2.1)
3.66
(3.71)
3.86
(3.25)
3.9%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Zwolle?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Zwolle will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 23.4%70.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.
    • Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Zwolle has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Zwolle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Breda might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Breda: Soumano M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z. (Ankle Injury) Manu B. M. (Suspended) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Kongolo T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zwolle: van der Haar D. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Breda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Zwolle were as follows:
    04.05.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 1:3
    20.10.2024 Zwolle - NAC Breda 1:2
    17.03.2023 Zwolle - NAC Breda 2:0
    19.11.2022 NAC Breda - Zwolle 0:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    03.10.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:2
    27.09.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 2:1
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2
    31.08.2025 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    Latest results of Zwolle
    09.10.2025 Heerenveen - Zwolle 4:1
    04.10.2025 Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven 0:4
    27.09.2025 Volendam - Zwolle 2:1
    24.09.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:2
    21.09.2025 Zwolle - Go Ahead Eagles 0:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV16141150:203043
    2Feyenoord16111441:202134
    3Ajax1685330:201029
    4Nijmegen1684441:271428
    5Groningen1682624:21326
    6AZ Alkmaar1574428:24425
    7Twente1666425:20524
    8Utrecht1665527:21623
    9Heerenveen1655626:26020
    10Sparta Rotterdam1662817:31-1420
    11Zwolle1654720:36-1619
    12G.A. Eagles1646625:28-318
    13Sittard1653821:26-518
    14Excelsior1551914:26-1216
    15FC Volendam1635819:30-1114
    16Heracles16421026:41-1514
    17NAC Breda1634916:25-913
    18Telstar1626819:27-812

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