Result
1:3
04/05/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 31
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 China | K-Ball |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (335/422) | 81% (351/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (335/422) | 81% (351/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (80/113) | 64% (67/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Sowah K. 🟨,
- 20', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
- 27', Van den Bergh J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Vente D. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 1, Namli Y. ⚽, Thomas R. (A),
- 64', Valerius C. 🟨,
- 66', Leemans C. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
- 66', Sowah K. ↓, Kaied A. ↑,
- 66', Omarsson E. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
- 79', Valerius C. ↓, Busi M. ↑,
- 82', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 2, Velanas O. ⚽,
- 84', Namli Y. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
- 84', Krastev F. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
- 89', Floranus S. ↓, van der Haar D. ↑,
- 89', El Azzouzi A. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 3, de Rooij K. ⚽, Velanas O. (A),
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Kostorz K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
43.9% | Draw
27.6% | Zwolle
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
NAC Breda - Zwolle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.26) |
3.43 ↓
(3.49) |
3.34 ↑
(3.05) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Zwolle?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Zwolle will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.
- Recent form of Breda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Zwolle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Breda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Breda: Kuijpers R.
(Inactive)
Lucassen B.
(Knee Injury)
Versluis D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Zwolle: Aertssen O.
(Injury)
Gooijer T.
(Knee Injury)
Lagsir S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zwolle: Graves S.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Zwolle?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against NAC Breda?
Zwolle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Zwolle were as follows:
20.10.2024
Zwolle
-
NAC Breda
1:2
17.03.2023
Zwolle
-
NAC Breda
2:0
19.11.2022
NAC Breda
-
Zwolle
0:2
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nijmegen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | PSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Ajax | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Volendam | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Twente | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Groningen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | NAC Breda | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Heerenveen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Telstar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
