Result
2:2
18/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 9
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/442) | 85% (432/511) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/442) | 85% (432/511) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (98/129) | 69% (75/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.52 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 22', Floranus S. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, van Hooijdonk S. ⚽, Holtby L. (A),
- 40', 2 - 0, van Hooijdonk S. (Pen),
- 43', 2 - 1, Kostons K. ⚽, Floranus S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Faberski J. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
- 60', Thomas R. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
- 61', Gooijer T. ↓, Aertssen O. ↑,
- 64', Brym C. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
- 65', Graves S. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 2, Monteiro J. ⚽, Fichtinger N. (A),
- 79', Nassoh M. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 79', Sowah K. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
- 79', Valerius C. ↓, Lucassen B. ↑,
- 83', de Rooij K. ↓, Shoretire S. ↑,
- 86', Holtby L. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
- 87', Oosting T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Oosting T. ↓, Reiziger G. ↑,
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
49.2% | Draw
26.1% | Zwolle
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NAC Breda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zwolle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
NAC Breda - Zwolle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.1) |
3.66 ↓
(3.71) |
3.86 ↑
(3.25) |
3.9%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Zwolle?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Zwolle will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Breda (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.
- Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Zwolle has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Zwolle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Breda might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Breda: Soumano M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Manu B. M.
(Suspended)
Velanas O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Kongolo T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Zwolle: van der Haar D.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Breda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Zwolle?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against NAC Breda?
Zwolle has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Zwolle were as follows:
04.05.2025
NAC Breda
-
Zwolle
1:3
20.10.2024
Zwolle
-
NAC Breda
1:2
17.03.2023
Zwolle
-
NAC Breda
2:0
19.11.2022
NAC Breda
-
Zwolle
0:2
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
