Nacional AM vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
7:0
09/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Norte - Round 3

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
92
Corner kicks
33
Total shots
165
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
73
Corner kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, ,
  • 8', 2 - 0, ,
  • 20', 3 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 53', 4 - 0, ,
  • 57', 5 - 0, ,
  • 74', 6 - 0, ,
  • 90+5', 7 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Nacional AM
65.5%
Draw
21.2%
Paysandu
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 28.1% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 26.8% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional AM's performance.
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paysandu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-23.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional AM that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paysandu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nacional AM - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (2.32)
    5.24
    (3.3)
    8.41
    (2.92)
    -10.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
    • Nacional AM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Nacional AM is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nacional AM won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional AM won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    Latest results of Nacional AM
    26.03.2026 Nacional AM - Trem 2:1
    21.03.2026 Nacional AM - Amazonas 2:1
    14.03.2026 Nacional AM - Parintins 2:0
    08.03.2026 Manauara - Nacional AM 0:1
    Latest results of Paysandu
    05.04.2026 Volta Redonda - Paysandu 0:1
    17.03.2026 Portuguesa - Paysandu 2:3
    11.03.2026 Paysandu - Portuguesa RJ 3:1
    08.03.2026 Paysandu - Remo 0:0
    Brazilian Copa Norte Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM32109:187
    2Trem320110:646
    3Guapore31112:3-14
    4GAS31028:9-13
    5Paysandu PA31023:9-63
    6Independencia30210:4-42


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto Velho33008:269
    2Aguia De Maraba33009:459
    3Remo31113:304
    4Amazonas31025:323
    5Monte Roraima30124:7-31
    6Galvez30032:12-100

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