São Francisco Rio Branco vs Nacional AM – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D São Francisco Rio Branco - Nacional AM
Result
0:3
14/06/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Chances of winning


São Francisco Rio Branco
7.6%
Draw
16%
Nacional AM
76.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13% 23% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8% 22.7% 64.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Francisco Rio Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Francisco Rio Branco's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional AM's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Francisco Rio Branco than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Francisco Rio Branco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional AM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São Francisco Rio Branco - Nacional AM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.7
    (6.93)
    5.55
    (3.92)
    1.16
    (1.41)
    12.5%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • São Francisco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nacional AM in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Nacional AM is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches São Francisco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Francisco Rio Branco - Nacional AM were as follows:
    11.06.2023 Nacional AM - São Francisco Rio Branco 2:0
    Latest results of Nacional AM
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1