São Francisco Rio Branco vs Nacional AM – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
14/06/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Chances of winning


São Francisco Rio Branco
7.6%
Draw
16%
Nacional AM
76.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13% 23% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8% 22.7% 64.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Francisco Rio Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Francisco Rio Branco's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional AM's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Francisco Rio Branco than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Francisco Rio Branco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional AM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São Francisco Rio Branco - Nacional AM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.7
    (6.93)
    5.55
    (3.92)
    1.16
    (1.41)
    12.5%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • São Francisco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nacional AM in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Nacional AM is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches São Francisco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Francisco Rio Branco - Nacional AM were as follows:
    11.06.2023 Nacional AM - São Francisco Rio Branco 2:0
    Latest results of Nacional AM
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM22003:036
    2Sao Raimundo RR21102:024
    3Manauara21102:024
    4Manaus21011:2-13
    5GAS20020:3-30
    6Monte Roraima20020:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto Velho22009:186
    2Araguaina21103:214
    3Guapore21102:114
    4Independencia21013:123
    5Galvez20021:6-50
    6Humaita20021:8-70


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama22004:046
    2Luverdense21102:114
    3Aparecidense21013:303
    4Brasiliense20201:102
    5Primavera AC20112:4-21
    6Inhumas20021:4-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Capital22002:026
    2Goiatuba21103:214
    3Mixto20202:202
    4Operario VG20112:3-11
    5Uniao Rondonopolis20112:3-11
    6Ceilandia20110:1-11


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Imperatriz21103:124
    2Trem20204:402
    3Aguia De Maraba20203:302
    4Tuna Luso20203:302
    5Tocantinopolis10102:201
    6Oratorio10011:3-20


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maracana21104:224
    2Iguatu21102:024
    3IAPE20202:202
    4Sampaio Correa20200:002
    5Moto Club20111:3-21
    6Parnahyba20111:3-21


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense-PI21104:134
    2Ferroviario21104:314
    3Piaui21103:214
    4Atletico-CE20201:102
    5AE Altos20110:3-31
    6Tirol20023:5-20


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1America RN22003:036
    2Maguary21013:123
    3ABC21014:313
    4Sousa21011:2-13
    5Central SC20111:2-11
    6Laguna RN20111:5-41


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lagarto21106:514
    2Sergipe21103:214
    3Treze PB21017:523
    4Serra Branca20203:302
    5Decisao20112:3-11
    6Retro20112:5-31


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSA22006:156
    2Juazeirense22005:236
    3ASA21102:114
    4Jacuipense20111:3-21
    5CSE20022:5-30
    6Alagoinhas20021:5-40


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ivinhema22003:126
    2Betim21102:114
    3Uberlandia21012:203
    4Operario MS20201:102
    5CRAC20110:1-11
    6Ouvidorense20020:2-20


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tombense22004:046
    2Democrata GV21102:114
    3Vitoria ES21013:213
    4Porto-BA21013:5-23
    5Rio Branco ES20113:4-11
    6Real Noroeste20021:4-30


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa RJ21105:144
    2Portuguesa21104:134
    3Agua Santa21015:323
    4Madureira21013:303
    5Pouso Alegre21012:3-13
    6America RJ20020:8-80


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marica22003:126
    2Piracicaba21106:334
    3Velo Clube21013:213
    4Sampaio Correa FE21011:2-13
    5Noroeste20112:3-11
    6Nova Iguacu20021:5-40


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville21102:024
    2Cascavel21101:014
    3Cianorte21013:213
    4Santa Catarina21011:103
    5Guarany de Bage20111:3-21
    6Sao Luiz20110:2-21


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau22006:246
    2Sao Joseense21101:014
    3Brasil de Pelotas21014:403
    4Marcilio Dias20200:002
    5Azuriz20111:2-11
    6EC Sao Jose20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)