São Francisco Rio Branco vs Nacional AM – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D São Francisco Rio Branco - Nacional AM
Result
0:3
14/06/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Chances of winning


São Francisco Rio Branco
7.6%
Draw
16%
Nacional AM
76.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13% 23% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8% 22.7% 64.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Francisco Rio Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Francisco Rio Branco's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional AM's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Francisco Rio Branco than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Francisco Rio Branco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional AM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São Francisco Rio Branco - Nacional AM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.7
    (6.93)
    5.55
    (3.92)
    1.16
    (1.41)
    12.5%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • São Francisco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nacional AM in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Nacional AM is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches São Francisco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Francisco Rio Branco - Nacional AM were as follows:
    11.06.2023 Nacional AM - São Francisco Rio Branco 2:0
    Latest results of Nacional AM
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0