Argentinos Juniors vs Nacional Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Argentinos Juniors - Nacional Asuncion
Result
2:1
28/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.49
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
138
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
63
Free Kicks
1412
Corner Kicks
40
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
1737
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Fouls
1114
Yellow Cards
34
Attacks
150128
Dangerous Attacks
6566

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Heredia L. , Batallini D. (A),
  • 14', Orzusa E. 🟨,
  • 16', Silva A. 🟨,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Batallini D. (Pen),
  • 39', 2 - 1, Arevalo R. , Rivas L. (A),
  • 45+2', Blasi B. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Cardozo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Vargas S. , Gomez A. ,
  • 46', Montiel S. , Prieto S. ,
  • 48', Coronel K. 🟨,
  • 64', Caballero G. , Duarte D. ,
  • 65', Santacruz Rodas J. F. , Meza L. ,
  • 74', Perello M. , Rocha G. ,
  • 74', Meza F. , Vazquez F. ,
  • 74', Heredia L. , Baez F. ,
  • 75', Gomez L. 🟨,
  • 76', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 78', Batallini D. , Villalba B. ,
  • 79', Orzusa E. , Alfaro J. ,
  • 79', Gaona Lugo O. , Bailone I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Argentinos Juniors
62%
Draw
22.4%
Nacional Asuncion
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 20.1% 10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1% 19.4% 10.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentinos Juniors's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Argentinos Juniors - Nacional Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.34)
    4.1
    (4.64)
    5.98
    (8.89)
    7.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - Nacional Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Argentinos Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Argentinos Juniors is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
    02.04.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Argentinos Juniors 2:3
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2