Santa Cruz Recife vs Nacional de Patos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Santa Cruz Recife - Nacional de Patos
Result
2:2
01/07/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 11

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz Recife
46.6%
Draw
29.6%
Nacional de Patos
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 28.5% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 30.2% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Cruz Recife's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional de Patos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santa Cruz Recife - Nacional de Patos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.76)
    3.06
    (3.19)
    3.8
    (4.65)
    10.4%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Recent matches Santa Cruz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional de Patos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Santa Cruz will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz Recife - Nacional de Patos were as follows:
    28.05.2023 Nacional de Patos - Santa Cruz Recife 2:2
    Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
    Latest results of Nacional de Patos
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1