Nacional de Patos vs Treze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano Nacional de Patos - Treze
Result
1:4
22/02/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paraibano - Round 9

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Dione ,
  • 22', Arthurzinho , Manu ,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Schutz ,
  • 42', 0 - 3, Rafael Ibiapino ,
  • 45+3', Vitor Alagoano 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kaio Henrique , Danilo Antonio ,
  • 46', Robinho , Gabriel Rocha ,
  • 46', Edu , Tiago Indio ,
  • 46', Dione , Pedro Rodrigues ,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 66', Dudu , Daniel Mazerochi ,
  • 66', Karl , Lincoln ,
  • 68', 1 - 3, Gean ,
  • 70', Lencina K. , Beckham ,
  • 72', Pedro Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 76', Gomes 🟨,
  • 77', Schutz , Jeam ,
  • 79', Lincoln 🟨,
  • 83', Luis Felipe , Chinha ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 4, Daniel Mazerochi ,

Chances of winning


Nacional de Patos
18.1%
Draw
25.3%
Treze
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 28.1% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 28.9% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional de Patos's form might have worsened.
  • Treze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Treze's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (+19.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional de Patos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treze than the current prediction. (-22.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Treze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nacional de Patos - Treze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.96
    (2.47)
    3.56
    (3.23)
    1.61
    (2.58)
    10.3%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nacional de Patos - Treze?
  • Users Predictions: Treze will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional de Patos won 3.
    • Recent matches Nacional de Patos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Treze is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Nacional de Patos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Nacional de Patos have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Treze have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Nacional de Patos won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nacional de Patos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional de Patos - Treze were as follows:
    27.01.2024 Nacional de Patos - Treze 2:1
    12.01.2023 Nacional de Patos - Treze 2:0
    Latest results of Nacional de Patos
    Latest results of Treze
    16.02.2025 Treze - Sousa 0:0
    08.02.2025 Pombal - Treze 1:1
    02.02.2025 Treze - Botafogo PB 2:1
    30.01.2025 Treze - Esporte de Patos 3:0
    25.01.2025 Treze - Serra Branca 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sousa (1)Serra Branca (4)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Botafogo PB (2)Treze PB (3)0 : 0, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sousa (1)Botafogo PB (2)1 : 1, 1 : 0