Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Bolivian Division Profesional Nacional Potosí - Bolívar
Result
1:1
29/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division Profesional - Round 12
  • Referee: Aleman C. (Bol)
Nacional Potosí - Bolívar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.49
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
84% (270/320)72% (191/264)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.76
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
914
Passes
84% (270/320)72% (191/264)
Long passes
43% (20/46)46% (27/59)
Passes in final third
68% (64/94)56% (42/75)
Crosses
35% (9/26)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.24
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
149
Tackles
71% (10/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3638
Clearances
2020
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.761.11
Goals prevented
-0.240.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Rocha Y. 🟥,
  • 25', Sagredo J. 🟨,
  • 29', Lampe C. 🟨,
  • 32', Guerra S. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Velasquez J. , Paz L. (A),
  • 45+6', Echeverria S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Azogue P. , Hoyos D. ,
  • 61', Guerra S. , Garcia A. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Garcia A. ,
  • 72', Restrepo E. , Pavia L. ,
  • 77', Vaca Moreno E. , Romero D. ,
  • 77', Velasquez J. , Rivero E. ,
  • 80', Alvarez W. 🟨,
  • 82', Torren M. 🟨,
  • 84', Alvarez W. 🟨,
  • 84', Justiniano L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Hoyos D. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Nacional Potosí
29.8%
Draw
25.2%
Bolívar
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 23.5% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 23% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Potosí's form might have worsened.
  • Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nacional Potosí - Bolívar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.45)
    3.67
    (3.95)
    2.08
    (2.4)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Bolívar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Bolívar will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 3.
    • In recent matches, Nacional Potosí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bolívar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nacional Potosí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Nacional Potosí has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.
    • Bolívar might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 31:40. (average 1.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Bolívar were as follows:
    26.06.2025 Nacional Potosí - Bolívar 3:0
    24.11.2024 Bolívar - Nacional Potosí 5:3
    28.07.2024 Nacional Potosí - Bolívar 2:1
    21.10.2023 Bolívar - Nacional Potosí 4:3
    15.10.2022 Bolívar - Nacional Potosí 3:1
    Latest results of Nacional Potosí
    Latest results of Bolívar
    22.06.2025 Bolívar - The Strongest 1:2
    15.06.2025 Bolívar - Always Ready 2:2
    08.06.2025 Bolívar - GVCD San José 1:3
    28.05.2025 Bolívar - Cerro Porteño 4:0
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready1284037:132428
    2The Strongest1291234:191528
    3Blooming1264225:18722
    4Bolivar1263329:161321
    5GV San Jose1252516:20-417
    6Oriente Petrolero1143417:20-315
    7SA Bulo Bulo1235420:24-414
    8Tomayapo1227314:16-213
    9Universitario de Vinto1134414:19-513
    10Academia del Balompie1134410:16-613
    11Guabira1233619:29-1012
    12Real Oruro1225515:18-311
    13Independiente1125417:21-411
    14Nacional Potosi1024411:11010
    15Wilstermann121298:28-205
    16Aurora1244423:212-17

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation

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