Result
2:1
29/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 26
- Referee: Aleman J. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (323/373) | 75% (208/279) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (323/373) | 75% (208/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (43/63) | 39% (26/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (87/116) | 61% (60/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Alvarez W. 🟨,
- 23', Navarro D. 🟥,
- 44', Pavia L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Pavia L. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
- 57', Arce Pari J. ↓, Daza Gutierrez A. ↑,
- 57', Torres S. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Villalba D. ⚽, Morales D. (A),
- 67', 1 - 1, Alvarez W. ⚽,
- 71', Palacio D. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 76', Cristaldo G. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
- 76', Guerra J. ↓, Mancilla D. ↑,
- 83', Villalba D. ↓, Willie ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
- 90+3', Rojas J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Potosí 64.8% | Draw 20% | Independiente Petroleros 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↓ (1.53) |
4.59 ↑ (4.47) |
5.94 ↑ (5.2) |
8.9% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Petroleros (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nacional Potosí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nacional Potosí is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Independiente Petroleros?
Nacional Potosí has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Nacional Potosí?
Independiente Petroleros has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros were as follows:
08.11.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Nacional Potosí
1:2
06.09.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Independiente Petroleros
0:3
21.06.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Nacional Potosí
1:1
22.02.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Nacional Potosí
0:5
16.02.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Independiente Petroleros
6:3
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 91:34 | 57 | 71 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 82:32 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 30 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 77:47 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | SA Bulo Bulo | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 62:54 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Blooming | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 46 |
| 6 | Independiente | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 56:57 | -1 | 45 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosi | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 8 | Guabira | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 58:63 | -5 | 43 |
| 9 | GV San Jose | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Tomayapo | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 40:53 | -13 | 35 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 45:58 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 60:66 | -6 | 31 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 26 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 33:64 | -31 | 26 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30:71 | -41 | 19 |
| 16 | Aurora | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 53:63 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation