Independiente Petroleros vs Nacional Potosí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre).

: Division Profesional - Round 11
Referee: Aleman J. (Bol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	0.63
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
9	1
Passes
75% (263/351)	68% (173/254)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.77	0.87
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
5	4
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
9	1
Touches in opposition box
17	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	19
Passes
75% (263/351)	68% (173/254)
Long passes
41% (26/63)	38% (30/79)
Passes in final third
65% (81/125)	55% (46/84)
Crosses
30% (6/20)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	0.53
Throw-ins
30	20
Fouls
19	11
Tackles
100% (8/8)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
31	47
Clearances
24	32
Interceptions
2	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.87	0.77
Goals prevented
-0.13	-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Palacio D. 🟨,
42', Rivera E. 🟨,
45', Rojas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cristaldo G. ↓, Ubah B. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Alvarez W. ⚽, Palacio D. (A),
55', Palacio D. 🟨,
66', Martinez Y. ↓, Rivera A. ↑,
66', Rivera E. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
66', Castellon D. ↓, Aguilera D. ↑,
70', Rojas J. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Thomaz (Pen),
79', Pavia L. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
89', Villalba D. ↓, Chajtur M. ↑,
90+1', Torrico A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
90+1', Alvarez W. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
90+6', Rivera A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Independiente Petroleros
37.5%

Draw
26.6%

Nacional Potosí
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.2%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.38)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	2.55 ↓ (2.75)	9.1% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 13)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 0.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.5:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Nacional Potosí?

Independiente Petroleros has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Independiente Petroleros?

Nacional Potosí has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí were as follows:

22.02.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí 0:5

16.02.2025 Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros 6:3

07.12.2024 Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros 2:0

12.08.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí 3:3

09.03.2024 Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros 3:1

Latest results of Independiente Petroleros

15.06.2025 ABB - Independiente Petroleros Postponed ✺

26.05.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Aurora 2:4 ✺

20.05.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá 0:1 ✺

16.05.2025 Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros 3:3 ✺

10.05.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero 5:2 ✺

Latest results of Nacional Potosí

13.06.2025 Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto Postponed ✺

08.06.2025 Nacional Potosí - Oriente Petrolero Postponed ✺

01.06.2025 GVCD San José - Nacional Potosí 1:0 ✺

28.05.2025 Independiente - Nacional Potosí 7:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Blooming - Nacional Potosí 0:0 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	12	8	4	0	37:13	24	28
2	The Strongest	12	9	1	2	34:19	15	28
3	Blooming	12	6	4	2	25:18	7	22
4	Bolivar	12	6	3	3	29:16	13	21
5	GV San Jose	12	5	2	5	16:20	-4	17
6	Oriente Petrolero	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
7	SA Bulo Bulo	12	3	5	4	20:24	-4	14
8	Tomayapo	12	2	7	3	14:16	-2	13
9	Universitario de Vinto	11	3	4	4	14:19	-5	13
10	Academia del Balompie	11	3	4	4	10:16	-6	13
11	Guabira	12	3	3	6	19:29	-10	12
12	Real Oruro	12	2	5	5	15:18	-3	11
13	Independiente	11	2	5	4	17:21	-4	11
14	Nacional Potosi	10	2	4	4	11:11	0	10
15	Wilstermann	12	1	2	9	8:28	-20	5
16	Aurora	12	4	4	4	23:21	2	-17

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí?

It is being streamed on channel


Bolivia	Futbol Canal