Result
0:3
06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Pacena - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (328/401) | 69% (188/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (328/401) | 69% (188/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (54/86) | 50% (33/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (95/138) | 52% (42/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/35) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.32 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Villalba D. ⚽, Cardozo R. (A),
- 34', Vedia C. 🟨,
- 42', Martinez Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Arce Pari J. ↓, Daza Gutierrez A. ↑,
- 46', Amarilla N. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
- 46', Torrico A. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
- 46', Palacio D. ↓, Mansilla A. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 2, Cardozo R. ⚽,
- 61', 0 - 3, Villalba D. ⚽, Cardozo R. (A),
- 63', Azogue P. 🟨,
- 63', Nunez M. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 69', Martinez Y. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
- 77', Villalba D. ↓, Cristaldo G. ↑,
- 87', Thomaz ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
- 87', Cardozo R. ↓, Arteaga N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Potosí
34.8% | Draw
29.8% | Independiente Petroleros
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Potosí's form might have worsened.Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Petroleros's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+22.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-16.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.36 ↑
(1.62) |
6.26 ↑
(3.7) |
5.27 ↑
(4.81) |
-46.4%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros?
Users Predictions:
Nacional Potosí will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Potosí will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Ind Petroleros has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Nacional Potosí is considered a favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 2.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Independiente Petroleros?
Nacional Potosí has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Nacional Potosí?
Independiente Petroleros has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros were as follows:
21.06.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Nacional Potosí
1:1
22.02.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Nacional Potosí
0:5
16.02.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Independiente Petroleros
6:3
07.12.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Independiente Petroleros
2:0
12.08.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Nacional Potosí
3:3
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
