Result
0:3
03/04/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (280/347) | 82% (348/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (280/347) | 82% (348/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (25/46) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (98/128) | 68% (69/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Thomaz 🟨,
- 45', Palma L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Solis M. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 53', Navarro D. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 1, Hoyos D. ⚽,
- 56', 0 - 2, Rojas J. ⚽,
- 60', Cardozo R. ↓, Willie ↑,
- 60', Navarro D. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
- 60', Rivas R. ↓, Cristaldo J. E. ↑,
- 63', Azogue P. 🟨,
- 71', Azogue P. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
- 71', Villalba D. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
- 71', Cristaldo G. ↓, Lutkowski R. ↑,
- 73', Baldomar O. 🟨,
- 78', 0 - 3, Pavia L. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
- 84', Torres S. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
- 85', Thomaz 🟨,
- 86', Patzi A. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
- 86', Nunez M. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
- 90+3', Lutkowski R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Petroleros
31.1% | Draw
25.4% | Nacional Potosí
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Petroleros's form might have worsened.Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Potosí's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.36) |
3.65 ↓
(3.79) |
2.13 ↓
(2.61) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Nacional Potosí (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional Potosí (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 1.
- Ind Petroleros is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nacional Potosí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Nacional Potosí?
Independiente Petroleros has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Independiente Petroleros?
Nacional Potosí has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
29.11.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Independiente Petroleros
2:1
08.11.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Nacional Potosí
1:2
06.09.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Independiente Petroleros
0:3
21.06.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Nacional Potosí
1:1
22.02.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Nacional Potosí
0:5
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
| 4 | Blooming | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Nacional Potosi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Independiente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Aurora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | SA Bulo Bulo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Oriente Petrolero | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Academia del Balompie | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Potosi | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | GV San Jose | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Tomayapo | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:11 | -10 | 2 |
| 15 | Real Oruro | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Guabira | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
