Nacional SP vs America SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Nacional SP - America SP
Result
5:3
20/03/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 3)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Vitinho H. ,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Paolo ,
  • 28', 3 - 0, Nicollas (Pen),
  • 32', 4 - 0, Paolo ,
  • 34', 4 - 1, Souza V. ,
  • 39', 4 - 2, Juan ,
  • 44', 4 - 3, Souza V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+4', 5 - 3, Talisca ,

Chances of winning


Nacional SP
50.1%
Draw
27.4%
America SP
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 26.8% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 25.2% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • America SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for America SP than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Nacional SP - America SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.75)
    3.27
    (3.4)
    3.98
    (4.28)
    11.8%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Nacional SP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • America SP has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Nacional SP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Nacional SP is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Nacional SP
    Latest results of America SP
    17.03.2024 XV de Jaú - America SP 3:1
    09.03.2024 America SP - SKA Brasil 0:2
    06.03.2024 Penapolense - America SP 2:0
    02.03.2024 America SP - VOCEM 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Colorado Caieiras (8)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Taquaritinga (2)AEA Aracatuba (7)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    3CA Joseense (4)Paulista (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2
    4Sao Caetano (3)Nacional SP (6)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)AEA Aracatuba (7)4 : 0, 2 : 3
    2Paulista (5)Nacional SP (6)3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Paulista (5)1 : 0, 1 : 0