Result
2:3
18/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 84', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Araçatuba
44.6% | Draw
29.7% | Nacional SP
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araçatuba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araçatuba than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Araçatuba that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Araçatuba - Nacional SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.2) |
3.04 ↑
(3.03) |
3.52 ↑
(3.2) |
10.9%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B).
- A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.
- Araçatuba will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Araçatuba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Araçatuba won against Nacional SP?
Araçatuba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional SP won against Araçatuba?
Nacional SP has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Araçatuba - Nacional SP were as follows:
01.02.2025
Nacional SP
-
Araçatuba
2:0
Latest results of Araçatuba
Latest results of Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro ✔ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Sao Caetano ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Penapolense | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Barretos EC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Lemense | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Sao-Carlense | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Jacarei FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Taquaritinga | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Tanabi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | ECUS SP | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | Comercial | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Jabaquara | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Vocem | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Colorado Caieiras | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional SP | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:20 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | AEA Aracatuba | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6:24 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter de Bebedouro is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Sao Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
