Joseense vs Nacional SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
01/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Diogo ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, ,
  • 35', 1 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 2 - 2, ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Joseense
40.9%
Draw
29.6%
Nacional SP
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 29.7% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 31.5% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Joseense - Nacional SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.42)
    3.09
    (3.05)
    3.11
    (2.74)
    9.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches Joseense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional SP is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Joseense have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Joseense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Joseense - Nacional SP were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Nacional SP - Joseense 1:0
    Latest results of Joseense
    26.02.2025 Matonense - Joseense 1:2
    23.02.2025 Paulista - Joseense 1:0
    18.02.2025 Joseense - Jabaquara 1:0
    Latest results of Nacional SP
    26.02.2025 Nacional SP - Paulista 1:0
    22.02.2025 Nacional SP - Barretos 0:0
    19.02.2025 Penapolense - Nacional SP 0:3
    15.02.2025 Nacional SP - Jabaquara 1:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Caetano ✔ 1392222:81429
    2Inter de Bebedouro ✔ 1283118:41427
    3Penapolense1273215:9624
    4Sao-Carlense1364315:11422
    5Barretos EC1264210:7322
    6Taquaritinga1363417:11621
    7Lemense1262413:9420
    8Jacarei FC1354410:9119
    9ECUS SP134639:6318
    10Tanabi1345411:8317
    11Comercial1242613:13014
    12Jabaquara122379:16-79
    13Vocem121656:12-69
    14Nacional SP132297:20-138
    15Colorado Caieiras131576:20-148
    16AEA Aracatuba121296:24-185

          Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sao Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Inter de Bebedouro is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)