São Caetano vs Nacional SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 São Caetano - Nacional SP
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Fabio Azevedo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90', 🟥,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


São Caetano
51%
Draw
26.3%
Nacional SP
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 27.4% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 27.6% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • São Caetano - Nacional SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.85)
    3.48
    (3.3)
    4.02
    (3.84)
    9.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for São Caetano - Nacional SP?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Caetano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • São Caetano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Nacional SP is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match São Caetano is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Caetano - Nacional SP were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Nacional SP - São Caetano 3:0
    22.01.2025 Nacional SP - São Caetano 1:2
    Latest results of São Caetano
    Latest results of Nacional SP
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Colorado Caieiras (8)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Taquaritinga (2)AEA Aracatuba (7)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    3CA Joseense (4)Paulista (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2
    4Sao Caetano (3)Nacional SP (6)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)AEA Aracatuba (7)4 : 0, 2 : 3
    2Paulista (5)Nacional SP (6)3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Paulista (5)1 : 0, 1 : 0