Nacional SP vs Taquaritinga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 8

Chances of winning


Nacional SP
30%
Draw
30.6%
Taquaritinga
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 30.3% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 29.3% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Taquaritinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taquaritinga than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Nacional SP - Taquaritinga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (3.06)
    2.96
    (3.01)
    2.3
    (2.29)
    10.3%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Nacional SP is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Taquaritinga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nacional SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional SP - Taquaritinga were as follows:
    29.01.2025 Taquaritinga - Nacional SP 1:0
    28.02.2024 Nacional SP - Taquaritinga 1:1
    Latest results of Nacional SP
    28.02.2026 Tanabi - Nacional SP 2:0
    25.02.2026 Nacional SP - Lemense FC 0:1
    21.02.2026 Nacional SP - Jacareí 0:1
    14.02.2026 VOCEM - Nacional SP 0:0
    11.02.2026 São Caetano - Nacional SP 3:0
    Latest results of Taquaritinga
    28.02.2026 Taquaritinga - Jacareí 0:1
    25.02.2026 Taquaritinga - Penapolense 3:0
    21.02.2026 Lemense FC - Taquaritinga 4:1
    14.02.2026 Taquaritinga - Araçatuba 2:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Bebedouro751112:4816
    2Lemense751110:3716
    3Penapolense751110:6416
    4Sao-Carlense743012:6615
    5Barretos EC74306:2415
    6Jacarei FC74126:5113
    7Sao Caetano73228:5311
    8Taquaritinga73137:6110
    9Tanabi72326:429
    10ECUS SP71514:408
    11Vocem70521:3-25
    12Comercial71155:9-44
    13Jabaquara71151:8-74
    14AEA Aracatuba71153:13-104
    15Colorado Caieiras70432:6-44
    16Nacional SP70160:9-91

          Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista B